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Mombasa United vs Vihiga United

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mombasa United in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mombasa United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Mombasa United
22%
Draws
18%
Vihiga United
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Mombasa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Mombasa United have won more games recently than Vihiga United.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Mombasa United taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Mombasa United Clean Sheet 68%
Vihiga United Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mombasa United Vihiga United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 0.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Super League
Mombasa United vs Vihiga United
3:1
Jan 24, 2026 Super League
Vihiga United vs Mombasa United
1:3
May 4, 2025 Super League
Vihiga United vs Mombasa United
3:0
Dec 15, 2024 Super League
Mombasa United vs Vihiga United
2:0
Jun 30, 2024 Super League
Mombasa United vs Vihiga United
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mombasa United 68 / 100
Vihiga United 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mombasa United Vihiga United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mombasa United's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Vihiga United conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Mombasa United has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mombasa United VS Vihiga United
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mombasa United

(Home)
13 Jun
Naivas FC
1 : 1
Mombasa United
07 Jun
Mombasa United
1 : 0
Nzoia Sugar
01 Jun
Luanda Villa
1 : 0
Mombasa United
27 May
Mombasa United
0 : 0
3K FC
24 May
Mwatate United
0 : 1
Mombasa United
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Vihiga United

(Away)
13 Jun
Kisumu All-Stars
1 : 0
Vihiga United
07 Jun
Vihiga United
1 : 1
Luanda Villa
01 Jun
Naivas FC
2 : 0
Vihiga United
27 May
Vihiga United
1 : 0
Gucha Stars
23 May
Darajani Gogo
1 : 0
Vihiga United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Migori38256757:2981
23K FC38238762:2677
3Mombasa United382441051:3276
4Equity Bank382111656:2874
5MOFA381616651:3064
6Fortune Sacco381891161:4163
7Naivas FC3817101147:3061
8Talanta FC381691353:4157
9Kibera381581532:3353
10Soy United3814101431:2752
11Nzoia Sugar3812141237:3650
12Gucha Stars381281835:4144
13Luanda Villa381271930:5143
14Kabati381091932:5239
15Kisumu All-Stars381091923:4739
16Nairobi City Stars389121732:4439
17Darajani Gogo381082027:4838
18MCF389101924:4234
19Vihiga United38992029:5530
20Mwatate United38672527:6425
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)