Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monaco vs Nantes

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade Louis II, Monaco
Monaco Logo

Monaco

3 - 1
FT
Nantes Logo

Nantes

Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Adingra S.
28' Event
Adingra S.
Assist: Golovin A.
30' Event
Zakaria D.
Assist: Golovin A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Monaco and Nantes finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monaco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Monaco
20%
Draws
23%
Nantes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monaco come out ahead of Nantes on wins alone.
  • Model gives Monaco a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Monaco have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Monaco Clean Sheet 15%
Nantes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monaco Nantes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.86 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Ligue 1
Monaco vs Nantes
3:1
Oct 29, 2025 Ligue 1
Nantes vs Monaco
3:5
Feb 15, 2025 Ligue 1
Monaco vs Nantes
7:1
Jan 10, 2025 Ligue 1
Nantes vs Monaco
2:2
May 19, 2024 Ligue 1
Monaco vs Nantes
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Adingra S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zakaria D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Nantes Compare

Top Goalscorer Centonze F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monaco 39 / 100
Nantes 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monaco Nantes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monaco scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 5.60 goals.

Nantes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Monaco went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monaco VS Nantes
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Monaco

(Home)
09 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 3
Monaco
06 Aug
Monaco
1 : 0
Getafe
31 Jul
Monaco
2 : 2
Cercle Brugge
25 Jul
Sporting CP
2 : 0
Monaco
18 Jul
Monaco
5 : 2
Saint Priest
Page 1 of 6

Nantes

(Away)
08 Aug
Nantes
0 : 1
Red Star
31 Jul
Nantes
5 : 1
Al Wakra
25 Jul
Le Mans
1 : 0
Nantes
22 Jul
Nantes
1 : 1
La Roche Vendee
18 Jul
Lorient
1 : 0
Nantes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 34 24 4 6 74:29 76
2 Lens 34 22 4 8 66:35 70
3 Lille 34 18 7 9 52:37 61
4 Lyon 34 18 6 10 53:40 60
5 Marseille 34 18 5 11 63:45 59
6 Rennes 34 17 8 9 59:50 59
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 60:54 54
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 58:47 53
9 Toulouse 34 12 9 13 47:46 45
10 Lorient 34 11 12 11 48:51 45
11 Paris FC 34 11 11 12 47:50 44
12 Brest 34 10 9 15 43:55 39
13 Angers 34 9 9 16 29:48 36
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 32:44 35
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 34:44 34
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 37:60 32
17 Nantes 34 5 9 20 29:52 24
18 Metz 34 3 8 23 32:76 17
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)