Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Monaco host Toulouse in the Ligue 1. This one's hard to separate. Toulouse have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Monaco have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.97. Past meetings favor Monaco slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.00) point toward Monaco. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Monaco have won more games recently than Toulouse.
- Win probability leans Monaco's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Monaco | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Monaco's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Monaco stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Toulouse has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Monaco
(Home)Toulouse
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Lyon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:2 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 5 | Rennes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 6 | PSG | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 8 |
| 7 | Angers | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 9 | Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 11 | Brest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 12 | Lorient | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 5 |
| 14 | Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 5 |
| 15 | Lens | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 4 |
| 16 | Troyes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | 4 |
| 17 | Marseille | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 2 |