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Monagas vs Carabobo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Monumental de Maturín, Maturín
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Bilbao J.
30'
Lima E.
33'
Sub
Herrera S. In: Castillo D.
Out: Herrera S.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE game between Monagas and Carabobo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monagas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Monagas
20%
Draws
63%
Carabobo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Carabobo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Carabobo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Carabobo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Monagas Clean Sheet 14%
Carabobo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monagas Carabobo
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 14 18
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.58 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.26 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Carabobo
1:0
Feb 13, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Monagas
1:0
Sep 24, 2025 Copa Venezuela
Carabobo vs Monagas
3:1
Sep 17, 2025 Copa Venezuela
Monagas vs Carabobo
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Carabobo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monagas Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Carabobo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monagas 10 / 100
Carabobo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monagas Carabobo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carabobo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Monagas scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Carabobo has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Monagas stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monagas VS Carabobo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Monagas

(Home)
03 Nov
Monagas
0 : 2
Caracas
31 Oct
Caracas
2 : 3
Monagas
27 Oct
Dep. Tachira
2 : 0
Monagas
24 Oct
Monagas
1 : 2
Academia Puerto Cabello
21 Oct
Dep. Tachira
2 : 1
Monagas
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Carabobo

(Away)
01 Nov
Carabobo
1 : 1
Metropolitanos
28 Oct
Carabobo
3 : 1
Deportivo La Guaira
25 Oct
Portuguesa
1 : 3
Carabobo
21 Oct
Carabobo
2 : 1
Mineros
17 Oct
Carabobo
2 : 2
Dep. Tachira
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metropolitanos 13 10 2 1 30:11 32
2 Dep. Tachira 13 8 3 2 30:17 27
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
4 Carabobo 13 6 4 3 15:10 22
5 Portuguesa 13 4 7 2 14:12 19
6 Monagas 13 5 3 5 17:17 18
7 Deportivo La Guaira 13 5 2 6 22:18 17
8 Caracas 13 4 5 4 15:16 17
9 Estudiantes Merida 13 4 5 4 15:16 17
10 Universidad Central 13 4 4 5 13:15 16
11 Trujillanos 13 4 2 7 14:20 14
12 Rayo Zuliano 13 3 2 8 18:29 11
13 Academia Anzoategui 13 2 2 9 8:22 8
14 Zamora 13 2 2 9 12:27 8
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)