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Stadium Background

Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Monumental de Maturín, Maturín
Monagas Logo

Monagas

1 - 2
FT
Deportivo La Guaira Logo

Deportivo La Guaira

Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Sub
Jaramillo F. In: Perez Piamo Y. J. d. J.
Out: Jaramillo F.
39' Event
Perdomo J.
46'
Sub
Colorado J. In: Farias E.
Out: Colorado J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE game between Monagas and Deportivo La Guaira finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo La Guaira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Monagas
20%
Draws
23%
Deportivo La Guaira
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monagas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monagas come out ahead of Deportivo La Guaira on wins alone.
  • Model gives Monagas a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Deportivo La Guaira have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Monagas Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monagas Deportivo La Guaira
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 12
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.33 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira
1:2
Jan 31, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas
2:0
Oct 31, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira
0:1
Jul 7, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monagas Compare

Top Goalscorer De La Hoz K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Deportivo La Guaira Compare

Top Goalscorer Perdomo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zeballos S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monagas 95 / 100
Deportivo La Guaira 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monagas Deportivo La Guaira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monagas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monagas found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Deportivo La Guaira let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Monagas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Monagas VS Deportivo La Guaira
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Monagas

(Home)
19 Sept
Rayo Zuliano
1 : 1
Monagas
16 Sept
Monagas
1 : 0
Zamora
13 Sept
Caracas
0 : 1
Monagas
09 Sept
Monagas
5 : 1
Bolivar
06 Sept
Monagas
0 : 1
Metropolitanos
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo La Guaira

(Away)
20 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 4
Dep. Tachira
15 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0
Deportivo La Guaira
12 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 2
Universidad Central
06 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 0
Academia Anzoategui
03 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
1 : 1
Deportivo La Guaira
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metropolitanos 11 9 1 1 24:9 28
2 Dep. Tachira 11 7 2 2 24:14 23
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 11 5 4 2 15:9 19
4 Carabobo 11 5 3 3 12:8 18
5 Portuguesa 11 4 5 2 14:12 17
6 Deportivo La Guaira 11 5 1 5 21:16 16
7 Estudiantes Merida 11 4 4 3 12:12 16
8 Universidad Central 11 4 3 4 12:11 15
9 Monagas 11 4 2 5 12:13 14
10 Caracas 11 2 5 4 9:14 11
11 Rayo Zuliano 11 3 2 6 17:23 11
12 Trujillanos 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
13 Zamora 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Academia Anzoategui 11 1 2 8 6:20 5
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)