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Monagas vs Dynamo Puerto FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Copa Venezuela
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-4. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Dynamo Puerto FC have shipped 1.54 goals a game lately, while Monagas have conceded 1.21 and scored 1.39. Head-to-head, Monagas have won 4 to Dynamo Puerto FC's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 24, 2026, ending 0:4. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 0.81) point toward Monagas. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Monagas
20%
Draws
33%
Dynamo Puerto FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monagas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Monagas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Monagas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Monagas, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Monagas have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Monagas Clean Sheet 20%
Dynamo Puerto FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monagas Dynamo Puerto FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.39 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Dynamo Puerto FC vs Monagas
0:4
Jul 3, 2024 Copa Venezuela
Monagas vs Dynamo Puerto FC
6:1
Jun 20, 2024 Copa Venezuela
Dynamo Puerto FC vs Monagas
2:3
Sep 18, 2019 Copa Venezuela
Monagas vs Dynamo Puerto FC
6:1
Sep 4, 2019 Copa Venezuela
Dynamo Puerto FC vs Monagas
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monagas 31 / 100
Dynamo Puerto FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monagas Dynamo Puerto FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monagas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Monagas's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Dynamo Puerto FC has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Monagas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monagas VS Dynamo Puerto FC
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Monagas

(Home)
07 Oct
Mineros
1 : 0
Monagas
19 Sept
Rayo Zuliano
1 : 1
Monagas
16 Sept
Monagas
1 : 0
Zamora
13 Sept
Caracas
0 : 1
Monagas
09 Sept
Monagas
5 : 1
Bolivar
Page 1 of 6

Dynamo Puerto FC

(Away)
07 Oct
Dynamo Puerto FC
0 : 2
Bolivar
04 Oct
Avila
1 : 2
Dynamo Puerto FC
27 Sept
Dynamo Puerto FC
2 : 1
Bolivar
20 Sept
Dynamo Puerto FC
0 : 0
Mineros
13 Sept
Monagas B
2 : 1
Dynamo Puerto FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia Anzoategui 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Avila 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
3 Deportivo Miranda 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
4 Maritimo de Venezuela 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamora 5 3 1 1 14:4 10
2 Atletico Barinas 5 3 1 1 9:5 10
3 Atletico El Vigia 5 2 1 2 10:13 7
4 Real Frontera 5 0 1 4 2:13 1
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caracas 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Aragua 5 2 1 2 11:7 7
3 Yaracuyanos 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
4 Barquisimeto 5 1 0 4 3:16 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Zuliano 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
2 Urena 5 1 3 1 5:7 6
3 Trujillanos 5 0 4 1 5:6 4
4 Lara 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas 5 4 0 1 13:3 12
2 Mineros 5 3 1 1 13:2 10
3 Bolivar 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
4 Dynamo Puerto FC 5 1 0 4 2:18 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams