Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monagas vs Mineros

Venezuela Venezuela

Copa Venezuela
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Farias E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Monagas
20%
Draws
47%
Mineros
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mineros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Monagas have won more games recently than Mineros.
  • Mineros are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Monagas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Monagas, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Monagas have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Monagas Clean Sheet 13%
Mineros Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monagas Mineros
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 5
Draws 3 9
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.21 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Monagas vs Mineros
1:0
Jul 10, 2025 Copa Venezuela
Mineros vs Monagas
2:3
Jun 4, 2025 Copa Venezuela
Monagas vs Mineros
1:0
Sep 30, 2023 Liga FUTVE
Mineros vs Monagas
2:1
Feb 11, 2023 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Mineros
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monagas Compare

Top Goalscorer Farias E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Mineros Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monagas 10 / 100
Mineros 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monagas Mineros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mineros Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monagas scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Mineros's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Monagas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monagas VS Mineros
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Monagas

(Home)
06 Sept
Monagas
0 : 1
Metropolitanos
03 Sept
Academia Anzoategui
1 : 3
Monagas
30 Aug
Trujillanos
3 : 1
Monagas
26 Aug
Bolivar
1 : 3
Monagas
23 Aug
Monagas
0 : 0
Portuguesa
Page 1 of 6

Mineros

(Away)
06 Sept
Mineros
2 : 0
Avila
29 Aug
Maritimo de Venezuela
0 : 3
Mineros
26 Aug
Mineros
6 : 0
Dynamo Puerto FC
23 Aug
Mineros
1 : 1
Aragua
19 Aug
Monagas
1 : 0
Mineros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia Anzoategui 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Avila 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Deportivo Miranda 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
4 Maritimo de Venezuela 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamora 3 2 0 1 12:4 6
2 Atletico Barinas 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Atletico El Vigia 3 2 0 1 7:7 6
4 Real Frontera 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caracas 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Yaracuyanos 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
3 Barquisimeto 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
4 Aragua 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Zuliano 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Urena 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
3 Trujillanos 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
4 Lara 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Mineros 3 1 1 1 7:2 4
3 Dynamo Puerto FC 3 1 0 2 2:11 3
4 Bolivar 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams