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Monagas vs Mineros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Copa Venezuela
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Farias E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Monagas
15%
Draws
39%
Mineros
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monagas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Monagas have won more games recently than Mineros.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Monagas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Monagas, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Monagas Clean Sheet 17%
Mineros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monagas Mineros
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 13 9
Draws 5 10
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.61 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Mineros vs Monagas
1:0
Aug 19, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Monagas vs Mineros
1:0
Jul 10, 2025 Copa Venezuela
Mineros vs Monagas
2:3
Jun 4, 2025 Copa Venezuela
Monagas vs Mineros
1:0
Sep 30, 2023 Liga FUTVE
Mineros vs Monagas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monagas Compare

Top Goalscorer Farias E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Mineros Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monagas 30 / 100
Mineros 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monagas Mineros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monagas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monagas scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Mineros let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Monagas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monagas VS Mineros
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Monagas

(Home)
21 Oct
Dep. Tachira
2 : 1
Monagas
18 Oct
Academia Puerto Cabello
3 : 3
Monagas
14 Oct
Monagas
2 : 1
Dynamo Puerto FC
11 Oct
Monagas
2 : 1
Estudiantes Merida
07 Oct
Mineros
1 : 0
Monagas
Page 1 of 6

Mineros

(Away)
21 Oct
Carabobo
2 : 1
Mineros
17 Oct
Mineros
3 : 0
Maritimo de Venezuela
14 Oct
Bolivar
1 : 0
Mineros
11 Oct
Aragua
3 : 0
Mineros
07 Oct
Mineros
1 : 0
Monagas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia Anzoategui 4 3 1 0 9:5 10
2 Avila 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
3 Deportivo Miranda 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
4 Maritimo de Venezuela 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamora 6 4 1 1 17:5 13
2 Atletico Barinas 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
3 Atletico El Vigia 6 2 1 3 11:16 7
4 Real Frontera 6 0 1 5 2:16 1
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caracas 6 4 1 1 14:7 13
2 Aragua 6 3 1 2 14:8 10
3 Yaracuyanos 6 2 1 3 11:11 7
4 Barquisimeto 6 1 1 4 4:17 4
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Zuliano 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
2 Lara 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
3 Urena 6 1 3 2 6:11 6
4 Trujillanos 6 0 5 1 5:6 5
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas 6 5 0 1 15:4 15
2 Mineros 6 3 1 2 13:3 10
3 Bolivar 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
4 Dynamo Puerto FC 6 1 0 5 3:20 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams