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Monagas vs Zamora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Monumental de Maturín, Maturín
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Rodriguez B.
44' Event
Rodriguez R.
Assist: Basante F.
46'
Sub
Rodriguez B. In: Gomez S.
Out: Rodriguez B.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE game between Monagas and Zamora finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monagas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Monagas
15%
Draws
59%
Zamora
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zamora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Zamora haven't matched Monagas's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Monagas Clean Sheet 21%
Zamora Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monagas Zamora
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.58 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Zamora
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Zamora vs Monagas
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Zamora
1:0
Oct 17, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Zamora vs Monagas
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Zamora vs Monagas
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monagas Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Zamora Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monagas 37 / 100
Zamora 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monagas Zamora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zamora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monagas's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Zamora let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Monagas remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Monagas VS Zamora
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Monagas

(Home)
03 Nov
Monagas
0 : 2
Caracas
31 Oct
Caracas
2 : 3
Monagas
27 Oct
Dep. Tachira
2 : 0
Monagas
24 Oct
Monagas
1 : 2
Academia Puerto Cabello
21 Oct
Dep. Tachira
2 : 1
Monagas
Page 1 of 7

Zamora

(Away)
21 Oct
Portuguesa
0 : 2
Zamora
17 Oct
Zamora
1 : 2
Academia Anzoategui
14 Oct
Atletico El Vigia
1 : 3
Zamora
11 Oct
Caracas
4 : 1
Zamora
07 Oct
Zamora
0 : 0
Atletico Barinas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metropolitanos 13 10 2 1 30:11 32
2 Dep. Tachira 13 8 3 2 30:17 27
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
4 Carabobo 13 6 4 3 15:10 22
5 Portuguesa 13 4 7 2 14:12 19
6 Monagas 13 5 3 5 17:17 18
7 Deportivo La Guaira 13 5 2 6 22:18 17
8 Caracas 13 4 5 4 15:16 17
9 Estudiantes Merida 13 4 5 4 15:16 17
10 Universidad Central 13 4 4 5 13:15 16
11 Trujillanos 13 4 2 7 14:20 14
12 Rayo Zuliano 13 3 2 8 18:29 11
13 Academia Anzoategui 13 2 2 9 8:22 8
14 Zamora 13 2 2 9 12:27 8
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)