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Monaghan United vs Dundalk

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division 2012
Fri, Aug 17, 2012
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Monaghan United host Dundalk in the Premier Division 2012. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Monaghan United have averaged 1 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Dundalk's 1.73 scored and 1.67 conceded. Past meetings favor Monaghan United slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 17, 2012, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.23 xG vs 1.24) point toward Dundalk. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Monaghan United
20%
Draws
29%
Dundalk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monaghan United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dundalk come out ahead of Monaghan United on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Monaghan United taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Monaghan United Clean Sheet 19%
Dundalk Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monaghan United Dundalk
Matches Played 12 30
Wins 4 11
Draws 1 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1 1.73
Goals Conceded 2 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2012 Premier Division
Monaghan United vs Dundalk
0:0
May 18, 2012 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Monaghan United
1:2
Mar 2, 2012 Premier Division
Monaghan United vs Dundalk
0:0
Apr 25, 2011 League Cup
Monaghan United vs Dundalk
2:1
Feb 10, 2011 Club Friendly
Dundalk vs Monaghan United
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monaghan United 76 / 100
Dundalk 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monaghan United Dundalk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monaghan United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dundalk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Monaghan United's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 11 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Monaghan United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dundalk
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Monaghan United

(Home)
26 Aug
Monaghan United
:
St. Patricks
01 Jun
Monaghan United
0 : 4
St. Patricks
25 May
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Monaghan United
21 May
Monaghan United
0 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
18 May
Dundalk
1 : 2
Monaghan United
Page 1 of 3

Dundalk

(Away)
18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3
Shelbourne
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4
St. Patricks
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1
Dundalk
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2
Dundalk
28 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 3
Dundalk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sligo Rovers 30 17 10 3 53:23 61
2 Drogheda 30 17 6 7 51:36 57
3 St. Patricks 30 15 10 5 44:22 55
4 Shamrock Rovers 30 14 10 6 56:37 52
5 Derry City 30 11 6 13 36:36 39
6 Cork City 30 8 12 10 38:36 36
7 Bohemians 30 9 9 12 35:38 36
8 Shelbourne 30 9 8 13 35:43 35
9 UC Dublin 30 8 7 15 32:48 31
10 Bray 30 5 10 15 33:54 25
11 Dundalk 30 4 8 18 23:63 20
12 Monaghan United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Relegation - Division 1 2012 (Promotion)
Promotion - Champions League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)