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Stadium Background

Monastir vs Aranova

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Loru L.
41' Event
Fumasoni M.
90' Event
Loru L.

AI Match Summary

Monastir in this Serie D - Group G matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monastir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Monastir
22%
Draws
27%
Aranova
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Monastir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Aranova haven't matched Monastir's recent run of results.
  • Monastir are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 51.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Monastir Clean Sheet 68%
Aranova Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monastir Aranova
Matches Played 29 4
Wins 15 1
Draws 7 2
Losses 7 1
Goals Scored 1.76 1
Goals Conceded 1.34 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 1.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Monastir vs Aranova
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monastir Compare

Top Goalscorer Loru L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Aranova Compare

Top Goalscorer Fumasoni M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monastir 77 / 100
Aranova 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monastir Aranova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monastir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monastir found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Monastir stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Aranova's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 4 matches.

Scoring Trends

Monastir VS Aranova
1.25 Goals Scored 0.8
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.8
63% Over 1.5 40%
38% Over 2.5 40%
38% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Monastir

(Home)
20 Sept
Monastir
2 : 1
Aranova
16 Sept
Anzio Calcio 1924
3 : 1
Monastir
12 Sept
Monastir
5 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
06 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
1 : 2
Monastir
16 May
Trastevere Calcio
0 : 1
Monastir
Page 1 of 6

Aranova

(Away)
20 Sept
Monastir
2 : 1
Aranova
16 Sept
Aranova
1 : 0
Albalonga
12 Sept
Budoni Calcio
2 : 2
Aranova
06 Sept
Aranova
0 : 0
Anzio Calcio 1924

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paganese 4 3 1 0 11:4 10
2 Sarnese 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
3 Certosa V. Campagnano 4 3 0 1 7:1 9
4 Monastir 4 3 0 1 10:6 9
5 Unipomezia 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
6 Albalonga 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
7 Ossese 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
8 Trastevere Calcio 4 2 1 1 5:8 7
9 Afragolese 4 1 3 0 5:1 6
10 Aranova 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
11 Budoni Calcio 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
12 Anzio Calcio 1924 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
13 Gelbison 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
14 Sarrabus Ogliastra 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
15 Citta di Anagni 4 1 0 3 3:10 3
16 Latte Dolce 4 0 1 3 5:10 1
17 Atl. Lodigiani 4 0 1 3 5:11 1
18 US Venafro 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)