Sport Picks
Match Events
28'
28'
Belghith M.
42'
42'
Amri Y.
46'
46'
Sub
Ganouni M. In: Barhoumi S.
Out: Ganouni M.
AI Match Summary
Monastir in this Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monastir.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
30%
6%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monastir
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- AS Gabes haven't matched Monastir's recent run of results.
- Model gives Monastir a 64% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Monastir Clean Sheet 68%
AS Gabes Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Monastir | AS Gabes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 3 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 29, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Monastir vs AS Gabes
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Gabes vs Monastir
1:1
Feb 9, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Monastir vs AS Gabes
5:0
Sep 29, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Gabes vs Monastir
0:0
May 19, 2024 Tunisia Cup
Monastir vs AS Gabes
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Monastir Compare
Top Goalscorer Amri Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ben Youssef F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
AS Gabes Compare
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Monastir 95 / 100
AS Gabes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Monastir AS Gabes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Monastir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AS Gabes let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Monastir went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
AS Gabes lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Monastir VS AS Gabes
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Monastir
(Home) 16 Sept
Zarzis
1 : 2 Monastir
12 Sept
Monastir
3 : 3 Ben Guerdane
29 Aug
Monastir
2 : 1 Stade Tunisien
22 Aug
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 0 Monastir
14 May
Monastir
3 : 0 Soliman
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Monastir
3 : 3 Ben Guerdane
29 Aug
Monastir
2 : 1 Stade Tunisien
14 May
Monastir
3 : 0 Soliman
04 May
Monastir
0 : 1 Metlaoui
29 Apr
Monastir
2 : 0 AS Gabes
Page 1 of 4
AS Gabes
(Away) 13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1 Stade Tunisien
08 May
Soliman
1 : 0 AS Gabes
03 May
AS Gabes
0 : 2 JS Kairouan
29 Apr
Monastir
2 : 0 AS Gabes
25 Apr
AS Gabes
1 : 1 Metlaoui
Page 1 of 6
08 May
Soliman
1 : 0 AS Gabes
29 Apr
Monastir
2 : 0 AS Gabes
05 Apr
Club Africain
2 : 0 AS Gabes
22 Mar
Metlaoui
5 : 2 AS Gabes
01 Mar
CS Sfaxien
1 : 0 AS Gabes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Africain | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 43:10 | 66 |
| 2 | Esperance Tunis | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 45:11 | 63 |
| 3 | CS Sfaxien | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 44:13 | 62 |
| 4 | Stade Tunisien | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 28:14 | 48 |
| 5 | Monastir | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 28:19 | 45 |
| 6 | Zarzis | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 7 | Etoile Sahel | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 28:30 | 41 |
| 8 | Metlaoui | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 19:25 | 40 |
| 9 | Jeunesse Sportive | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 24:33 | 36 |
| 10 | Ben Guerdane | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 18:22 | 35 |
| 11 | AS Marsa | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 26:33 | 35 |
| 12 | CA Bizertin | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 18:29 | 33 |
| 13 | Olympique Beja | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 18:39 | 32 |
| 14 | JS Kairouan | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 20:41 | 31 |
| 15 | Soliman | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 15:31 | 27 |
| 16 | AS Gabes | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 11:37 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)
