Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monastir vs Atl. Lodigiani

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Aloia A.
5' Event
Aloia A.
75' Event
Leone A.

AI Match Summary

Monastir in this Serie D - Group G matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monastir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Monastir
20%
Draws
7%
Atl. Lodigiani
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monastir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Monastir lately — more wins on the board than Atl. Lodigiani.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Monastir taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Monastir Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Lodigiani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monastir Atl. Lodigiani
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.77 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Monastir vs Atl. Lodigiani
5:1
Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Atl. Lodigiani vs Monastir
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Monastir vs Atl. Lodigiani
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monastir Compare

Top Goalscorer Aloia A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Leone A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Atl. Lodigiani Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monastir 95 / 100
Atl. Lodigiani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monastir Atl. Lodigiani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monastir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Monastir scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Atl. Lodigiani let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Monastir stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monastir VS Atl. Lodigiani
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Monastir

(Home)
27 Sept
Monastir
2 : 2
Albalonga
20 Sept
Monastir
2 : 1
Aranova
16 Sept
Anzio Calcio 1924
3 : 1
Monastir
12 Sept
Monastir
5 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
06 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
1 : 2
Monastir
Page 1 of 6

Atl. Lodigiani

(Away)
27 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3
Trastevere Calcio
20 Sept
Certosa V. Campagnano
1 : 0
Atl. Lodigiani
16 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 2
Latte Dolce
12 Sept
Monastir
5 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
06 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3
Albalonga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sarnese 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
2 Paganese 5 3 1 1 13:7 10
3 Monastir 5 3 1 1 12:8 10
4 Trastevere Calcio 5 3 1 1 8:10 10
5 Certosa V. Campagnano 5 3 0 2 8:3 9
6 Unipomezia 5 2 2 1 8:5 8
7 Albalonga 5 2 2 1 9:7 8
8 Ossese 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
9 Budoni Calcio 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
10 Anzio Calcio 1924 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
11 Gelbison 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
12 Afragolese 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
13 Aranova 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
14 Citta di Anagni 5 2 0 3 7:10 6
15 Sarrabus Ogliastra 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
16 Latte Dolce 5 0 2 3 6:11 2
17 Atl. Lodigiani 5 0 1 4 7:14 1
18 US Venafro 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)