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Monastir vs Ben Guerdane

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet, Monastir
Sat, Sep 12, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Monastir host Ben Guerdane in the Ligue Professionnelle 1. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Ben Guerdane have shipped 0.86 goals a game lately, while Monastir have conceded 0.83 and scored 0.93. Past meetings favor Monastir slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (0.50 xG vs 0.63) point toward Monastir. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Monastir
20%
Draws
40%
Ben Guerdane
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monastir come out ahead of Ben Guerdane on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Monastir's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Monastir Clean Sheet 20%
Ben Guerdane Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monastir Ben Guerdane
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.93 0.68
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Ben Guerdane vs Monastir
2:0
Oct 29, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Monastir vs Ben Guerdane
0:0
Feb 13, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Ben Guerdane vs Monastir
0:0
Oct 3, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Monastir vs Ben Guerdane
2:1
Jun 23, 2023 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Monastir vs Ben Guerdane
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monastir 49 / 100
Ben Guerdane 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monastir Ben Guerdane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monastir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Monastir has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Monastir's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ben Guerdane has conceded goals in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Monastir VS Ben Guerdane
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
50% Over 1.5 13%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Monastir

(Home)
29 Aug
Monastir
2 : 1
Stade Tunisien
22 Aug
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 0
Monastir
14 May
Monastir
3 : 0
Soliman
08 May
JS Kairouan
1 : 0
Monastir
04 May
Monastir
0 : 1
Metlaoui
Page 1 of 6

Ben Guerdane

(Away)
30 Aug
Olympique Beja
1 : 2
Ben Guerdane
14 May
Ben Guerdane
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
08 May
Stade Tunisien
0 : 0
Ben Guerdane
03 May
Ben Guerdane
0 : 1
Soliman
30 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 1
Ben Guerdane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Africain 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 CA Bizertin 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
3 PS Sakiet Eddaier 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
4 CS Sfaxien 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
5 Monastir 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Ben Guerdane 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 Etoile Sahel 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
8 Zarzis 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Jeunesse Sportive 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
10 Esperance Tunis 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
11 AS Marsa 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
12 Hamam-Sousse 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
13 Stade Tunisien 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
14 Hammam-Lif 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Olympique Beja 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
16 Metlaoui 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)