Sport Picks
Monastir vs Etoile Sahel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tunisia
Ligue Professionnelle 1 Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet, Monastir 
AI Match Summary
Monastir host Etoile Sahel in the Ligue Professionnelle 1. This one's hard to separate. Etoile Sahel have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Monastir have conceded 0.69 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Monastir have won 1 to Etoile Sahel's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 0.94, favoring Etoile Sahel. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Etoile Sahel have won more games recently than Monastir.
- Win probability leans Monastir's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Monastir | Etoile Sahel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.69 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Monastir went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Monastir scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Etoile Sahel let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Monastir
(Home)Etoile Sahel
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ben Guerdane | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:6 | 14 |
| 2 | Esperance Tunis | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Monastir | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 4 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5:2 | 11 |
| 5 | Club Africain | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 9 |
| 6 | Jeunesse Sportive | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 7 | CS Sfaxien | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 8 | CA Bizertin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 8 |
| 9 | AS Marsa | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 10 | Stade Tunisien | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 11 | Etoile Sahel | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 12 | Zarzis | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 13 | Hammam-Lif | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 14 | Metlaoui | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:9 | 3 |
| 15 | Olympique Beja | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | 2 |
| 16 | Hamam-Sousse | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:9 | 1 |
