Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monastir vs Kabylie

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League 2025/2026 Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet, Monastir
Monastir Logo

Monastir

0 - 3
FT
Kabylie Logo

Kabylie

Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Merghem M.
Assist: Hamidi M.
64' Event
Akhrib L.
Assist: Lahmeri A.
89' Event
Sarr B.
Assist: Bada A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Kabylie advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Monastir
20%
Draws
46%
Kabylie
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kabylie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monastir come out ahead of Kabylie on wins alone.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Monastir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kabylie, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Monastir Clean Sheet 23%
Kabylie Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monastir Kabylie
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 12
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 CAF Champions League
Kabylie vs Monastir
2:1
Oct 17, 2025 CAF Champions League
Monastir vs Kabylie
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monastir Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Kabylie Compare

Top Goalscorer Merghem M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akhrib L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monastir 33 / 100
Kabylie 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monastir Kabylie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kabylie let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Monastir found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Monastir has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Monastir VS Kabylie
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Monastir

(Home)
14 May
Monastir
3 : 0
Soliman
08 May
JS Kairouan
1 : 0
Monastir
04 May
Monastir
0 : 1
Metlaoui
29 Apr
Monastir
2 : 0
AS Gabes
25 Apr
Ben Guerdane
2 : 0
Monastir
Page 1 of 6

Kabylie

(Away)
05 Jun
Kabylie
0 : 0
CR Belouizdad
20 May
ASO Chlef
1 : 2
Kabylie
08 May
Kabylie
5 : 1
ES Setif
29 Apr
Kabylie
1 : 2
Oran
22 Apr
Olympique Akbou
1 : 1
Kabylie
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Aigle Noir 1
ASAS 1
TBD -
Al Ahly -
Ethiopian Insurance 4
Mlandege 3
APR 0
Pyramids 5
Mogadishu City 3
Police FC 3
Jamus 0
Al-Hilal Omdurman 1
Rahimo 1
Mangasport 0
ASFAN 1
Esperance Tunis 7
Dadje 0
Al Ahly Tripoli 1
ASC Kara 2
Berkane 4
East End Lions 1
Monastir 7
Bibiani Gold Stars 0
Kabylie 7
Fundacion Bata 0
Nouadhibou 2
Tempete MOCAF 0
Stade Malien 7
Al Hilal Benghazi 1
Horoya 2
Real Banjul 1
FAR Rabat 4
Colombe 1
ASC Jaraaf 0
FC Fassell 0
MC Alger 3
Remo Stars 5
US Zilimadjou 0
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Simba Bhora 1
Nsingizini Hotspurs 2
Gaborone Utd 1
Simba 2
Elgeco Plus 1
Silver Strikers 1
Wiliete 0
Young Africans 5
Cote d'Or 1
Stade d'Abidjan 5
Cercle De Joachim 0
Petro Atletico 6
Leopard 0
Associacao Black Bulls 1
Aigles du Congo 0
Rivers United 1
African Stars 0
Vipers 2
Power Dynamos 2
ASEC Mimosas 1
St Eloi Lupopo 1
Al-Merreikh 0
Lioli FC 0
Orlando Pirates 7
Final
Aigle Noir 0
Al Ahly 2
Ethiopian Insurance 1
Pyramids 3
Police FC 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman 4
Rahimo 0
Esperance Tunis 4
Al Ahly Tripoli 2
Berkane 3
Monastir 1
Kabylie 5
Nouadhibou 1
Stade Malien 3
Horoya 1
FAR Rabat 4
Colombe 1
MC Alger 1
Remo Stars 1
Mamelodi Sundowns 7
Nsingizini Hotspurs 0
Simba 3
Silver Strikers 1
Young Africans 2
Stade d'Abidjan 0
Petro Atletico 4
Associacao Black Bulls 2
Rivers United 3
Vipers 2
Power Dynamos 3
St Eloi Lupopo 4
Orlando Pirates 3