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Monastir vs Stade Tunisien

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet, Monastir
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Match Events

13'
Derbali R.
31' Event
Ouerghemmi W.
34' Event
Bouchniba R.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue Professionnelle 1 game between Monastir and Stade Tunisien finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monastir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Monastir
35%
Draws
27%
Stade Tunisien
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Monastir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Stade Tunisien haven't matched Monastir's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Monastir's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Monastir Clean Sheet 68%
Stade Tunisien Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monastir Stade Tunisien
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Monastir vs Stade Tunisien
2:1
Jan 16, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Tunisien vs Monastir
0:0
Aug 10, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Monastir vs Stade Tunisien
1:1
Jul 27, 2025 Super Cup
Monastir vs Stade Tunisien
0:2
May 24, 2025 Tunisia Cup
Monastir vs Stade Tunisien
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monastir Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouchniba R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barhoumi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Stade Tunisien Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouerghemmi W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monastir 95 / 100
Stade Tunisien 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monastir Stade Tunisien

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monastir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monastir went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Monastir's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Stade Tunisien's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Monastir VS Stade Tunisien
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Monastir

(Home)
16 Sept
Zarzis
1 : 2
Monastir
12 Sept
Monastir
3 : 3
Ben Guerdane
29 Aug
Monastir
2 : 1
Stade Tunisien
22 Aug
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 0
Monastir
14 May
Monastir
3 : 0
Soliman
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Stade Tunisien

(Away)
12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3
Stade Tunisien
29 Aug
Monastir
2 : 1
Stade Tunisien
22 Aug
Stade Tunisien
1 : 1
CS Sfaxien
13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1
Stade Tunisien
08 May
Stade Tunisien
0 : 0
Ben Guerdane
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Africain 3 3 0 0 3:0 9
2 Esperance Tunis 4 3 0 1 7:6 9
3 Ben Guerdane 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
4 CS Sfaxien 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
5 Monastir 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
6 PS Sakiet Eddaier 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
7 Jeunesse Sportive 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
8 CA Bizertin 4 2 1 1 3:3 7
9 Stade Tunisien 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
10 Etoile Sahel 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
11 AS Marsa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Zarzis 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
13 Metlaoui 4 1 0 3 2:4 3
14 Olympique Beja 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
15 Hamam-Sousse 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
16 Hammam-Lif 4 0 0 4 0:4 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)