Sport Picks
Moncarapachense vs Estrela Vendas Novas
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 game between Moncarapachense and Estrela Vendas Novas finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moncarapachense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Moncarapachense carry the better recent record into this one.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Moncarapachense taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moncarapachense | Estrela Vendas Novas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 42 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 2 |
| Draws | 13 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 26 |
| Goals Scored | 0.38 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Moncarapachense Compare
Estrela Vendas Novas Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Estrela Vendas Novas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.
Estrela Vendas Novas lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Moncarapachense's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 42 recent games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitano GC | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 57:14 | 58 |
| 2 | Amora | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 41:19 | 57 |
| 3 | Sintrense | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 39:26 | 52 |
| 4 | Moncarapachense | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39:19 | 51 |
| 5 | Louletano | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 44:20 | 50 |
| 6 | Serpa | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 42:27 | 45 |
| 7 | Estrela da Amadora B | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 35:31 | 30 |
| 8 | Lagoa | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:35 | 30 |
| 9 | Industria | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 35:42 | 29 |
| 10 | Fabril do Barreiro | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 21:32 | 27 |
| 11 | Moura AC | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 27:50 | 26 |
| 12 | Operario | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 22:43 | 23 |
| 13 | FC Barreirense | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 31:47 | 22 |
| 14 | Estrela Vendas Novas | 26 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 12:66 | 5 |