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Mondercange vs Metz

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Mbaye M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Mondercange and Metz finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Metz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mondercange
30%
Draws
47%
Metz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Metz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Metz come out ahead of Mondercange on wins alone.
  • Metz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Mondercange Clean Sheet 18%
Metz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mondercange Metz
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 6
Draws 3 10
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.7 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Mondercange vs Metz
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mondercange Compare

Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Metz Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbaye M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mondercange 10 / 100
Metz 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mondercange Metz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metz has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Mondercange scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Mondercange has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Metz
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mondercange

(Home)
09 Nov
Mondercange
2 : 3
Victoria Rosport
21 Sept
FF Norden
1 : 4
Mondercange
28 Jul
Mondercange
0 : 6
FC Mamer
19 Jul
Mondercange
0 : 3
Kaerjeng
13 Jul
Jeunesse Esch
6 : 0
Mondercange
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Metz

(Away)
29 Aug
Annecy
1 : 1
Metz
22 Aug
Metz
1 : 1
Laval
14 Aug
Grenoble
0 : 0
Metz
08 Aug
Metz
2 : 1
Guingamp
01 Aug
Metz
1 : 3
Kaiserslautern
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