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Mondercange vs Victoria Rosport

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue 2024/2025 Stade Communal
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Sub
Kyere B. In: Vogel B.
Out: Kyere B.
53'
Brandenburger E.
56' Event
Carratala-Jimenez E.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The BGL Ligue 2024/2025 game between Mondercange and Victoria Rosport finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Mondercange
17%
Draws
70%
Victoria Rosport
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Victoria Rosport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Victoria Rosport come out ahead of Mondercange on wins alone.
  • Victoria Rosport are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular BGL Ligue 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Mondercange Clean Sheet 19%
Victoria Rosport Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mondercange Victoria Rosport
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 Luxembourg Cup
Mondercange vs Victoria Rosport
2:3
Mar 16, 2025 BGL Ligue
Mondercange vs Victoria Rosport
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 BGL Ligue
Victoria Rosport vs Mondercange
2:0
Apr 14, 2024 BGL Ligue
Victoria Rosport vs Mondercange
2:1
Oct 22, 2023 BGL Ligue
Mondercange vs Victoria Rosport
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mondercange Compare

Top Goalscorer Klapp R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Victoria Rosport Compare

Top Goalscorer Carratala-Jimenez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mondercange 16 / 100
Victoria Rosport 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mondercange Victoria Rosport

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Victoria Rosport conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Victoria Rosport lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Mondercange scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Victoria Rosport
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Differdange30253269:778
2UNA Strassen30186662:2360
3Dudelange30176767:3457
4Racing Luxembourg30176750:2257
5Progres Niedercorn30167754:3055
6Hesperange30166856:3454
7Mondorf30165953:3953
8Jeunesse Esch301191041:4842
9Union Titus Petange301181141:3241
10Hostert301151450:6938
11Victoria Rosport308101229:4534
12FC Rodange 9130781540:6229
13Wiltz30851737:6129
14Bettembourg30722129:5923
15Fola30412518:7813
16Mondercange30332421:7412