Sport Picks

Luxembourg

BGL Ligue 2025/2026 Stade John Grun

Mondorf

4 - 0

Hostert

Our Tip

Match Events

Tinelli L.

Assist: Matias Y.

25'

Kumbi J.

(Penalty)

46'

Sub

Yans M. In: Bekkouche S.

Out: Yans M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mondorf in this BGL Ligue 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mondorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Mondorf

17%

Draws

70%

Hostert

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Hostert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Hostert haven't matched Mondorf's recent run of results.
Model gives Hostert a 70% chance of winning this.
Regular BGL Ligue 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

Mondorf Clean Sheet 19%

Hostert Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mondorf	Hostert
Matches Played	31	28
Wins	17	10
Draws	4	5
Losses	10	13
Goals Scored	1.25	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.13	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 BGL Ligue

Mondorf vs Hostert

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 3 - 3

4:0

Nov 2, 2025 BGL Ligue

Hostert vs Mondorf

Possession: 44% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Apr 19, 2025 BGL Ligue

Hostert vs Mondorf

Possession: 56% - 45% Cards: 4 - 1

2:1

Oct 27, 2024 BGL Ligue

Mondorf vs Hostert

Possession: 53% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

3:1

Apr 24, 2024 Luxembourg Cup

Hostert vs Mondorf

Possession: 42% - 41% Cards: 1 - 0

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mondorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Tinelli L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kumbi J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Hostert Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mondorf 16 / 100

Hostert 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mondorf Hostert

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mondorf scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Hostert conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Mondorf stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mondorf VS Hostert

1.25 Goals Scored 1.38

1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13

50% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bissen	30	20	5	5	70:27	65
2	Differdange	30	19	8	3	63:22	65
3	Mondorf	30	19	3	8	51:24	60
4	UNA Strassen	30	17	7	6	57:26	58
5	Dudelange	30	17	7	6	59:38	58
6	Jeunesse Esch	30	10	10	10	35:34	40
7	Racing Luxembourg	30	11	7	12	48:50	40
8	Kaerjeng	30	11	5	14	43:48	38
9	Hostert	30	10	6	14	35:56	36
10	Victoria Rosport	30	10	5	15	33:50	35
11	Progres Niedercorn	30	9	7	14	44:47	34
12	Hesperange	30	9	5	16	31:46	32
13	Jeunesse Canach	30	9	4	17	29:44	31
14	FC Mamer	30	8	5	17	33:59	29
15	Union Titus Petange	30	6	7	17	26:49	25
16	FC Rodange 91	30	6	7	17	28:65	25