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Mondorf vs UNA Strassen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue Stade John Grun, Mondorf-les-Bains
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Natami O.
Assist: Seye B.
75' Event
Djonkep H.
Assist: Myre D.
90' Event
Kumbi J.

AI Match Summary

UNA Strassen in this BGL Ligue matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored UNA Strassen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Mondorf
15%
Draws
53%
UNA Strassen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UNA Strassen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UNA Strassen lately — more wins on the board than Mondorf.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on UNA Strassen taking it.
  • Regular BGL Ligue form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Mondorf Clean Sheet 14%
UNA Strassen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mondorf UNA Strassen
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 18 19
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.97 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.19 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 BGL Ligue
Mondorf vs UNA Strassen
1:2
May 23, 2026 BGL Ligue
UNA Strassen vs Mondorf
0:0
Aug 3, 2025 BGL Ligue
Mondorf vs UNA Strassen
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 BGL Ligue
UNA Strassen vs Mondorf
1:3
Sep 25, 2024 BGL Ligue
Mondorf vs UNA Strassen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mondorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Kumbi J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

UNA Strassen Compare

Top Goalscorer Natami O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Djonkep H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mondorf 23 / 100
UNA Strassen 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mondorf UNA Strassen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNA Strassen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mondorf scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mondorf stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

UNA Strassen let in goals in 39% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mondorf VS UNA Strassen
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mondorf

(Home)
20 Sept
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz
1 : 10
Mondorf
16 Sept
FC Residence Walferdange
2 : 1
Mondorf
13 Sept
Mondorf
1 : 2
UNA Strassen
06 Sept
Bissen
1 : 2
Mondorf
30 Aug
Mondorf
2 : 1
Progres Niedercorn
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UNA Strassen

(Away)
19 Sept
Esch
0 : 8
UNA Strassen
16 Sept
UNA Strassen
2 : 0
Rumelange
13 Sept
Mondorf
1 : 2
UNA Strassen
06 Sept
FC Residence Walferdange
0 : 3
UNA Strassen
30 Aug
UNA Strassen
2 : 1
Bissen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UNA Strassen 8 8 0 0 17:2 24
2 Differdange 8 7 0 1 19:5 21
3 Mondorf 8 6 0 2 16:11 18
4 Racing Luxembourg 8 5 2 1 21:8 17
5 Progres Niedercorn 8 5 1 2 13:5 16
6 Kaerjeng 8 5 0 3 23:15 15
7 Bissen 8 5 0 3 18:11 15
8 FC Residence Walferdange 8 5 0 3 16:10 15
9 Hostert 8 3 2 3 14:11 11
10 Jeunesse Esch 8 2 1 5 14:17 7
11 Dudelange 8 2 1 5 8:15 7
12 Rumelange 8 2 0 6 8:23 6
13 Victoria Rosport 8 1 2 5 11:20 5
14 Ettelbruck 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
15 Wiltz 8 1 1 6 14:22 4
16 Hesperange 8 0 0 8 2:30 -12
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue (Relegation)