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Mondsee vs Friedburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Oberosterreich
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mondsee host Friedburg in the Oberosterreich. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Friedburg have shipped 1.68 goals a game lately, while Mondsee have conceded 0.94 and scored 2.45. Head-to-head, Mondsee have won 2 to Friedburg's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 30, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (2.38 - 1.38) back Mondsee to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Mondsee
35%
Draws
27%
Friedburg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mondsee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Mondsee carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mondsee are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberosterreich form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Mondsee Clean Sheet 17%
Friedburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mondsee Friedburg
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 20 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.45 2.16
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Oberosterreich
Friedburg vs Mondsee
1:3
Sep 26, 2025 Oberosterreich
Mondsee vs Friedburg
1:1
Jun 7, 2025 Oberosterreich
Mondsee vs Friedburg
2:1
Nov 2, 2024 Oberosterreich
Friedburg vs Mondsee
3:0
May 24, 2024 Oberosterreich
Friedburg vs Mondsee
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mondsee 84 / 100
Friedburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mondsee Friedburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mondsee Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mondsee found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Mondsee has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Friedburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mondsee VS Friedburg
2.88 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mondsee

(Home)
09 Oct
Mondsee
3 : 3
Andorf
03 Oct
Bad Ischl
1 : 2
Mondsee
25 Sept
Mondsee
4 : 0
Pregarten
19 Sept
Union Weisskirchen
0 : 0
Mondsee
12 Sept
Mondsee
3 : 2
Union Edelweiss Linz
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Friedburg

(Away)
16 Oct
Friedburg
3 : 1
Micheldorf
10 Oct
Ostermiething
1 : 1
Friedburg
02 Oct
Friedburg
1 : 1
Perg
26 Sept
ASK St.Valentin
6 : 0
Friedburg
19 Sept
Sportunion St. Martin im Muhlreis
0 : 1
Friedburg
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