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Moneni Pirates vs Amawele

Eswatini Eswatini

Swazi MTN Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Swazi MTN Premier League 2025/2026 game between Moneni Pirates and Amawele finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Moneni Pirates
20%
Draws
36%
Amawele
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Moneni Pirates

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Moneni Pirates come out ahead of Amawele on wins alone.
  • Model gives Moneni Pirates a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Swazi MTN Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Moneni Pirates Clean Sheet 20%
Amawele Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moneni Pirates Amawele
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 10
Draws 11 7
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.03 0.85
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Swazi MTN Premier League
Amawele vs Moneni Pirates
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Swazi MTN Premier League
Moneni Pirates vs Amawele
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moneni Pirates 49 / 100
Amawele 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moneni Pirates Amawele

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moneni Pirates Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Moneni Pirates remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Moneni Pirates found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Amawele let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Moneni Pirates VS Amawele
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Moneni Pirates

(Home)
19 Sept
Moneni Pirates
1 : 0
Nsingizini Hotspurs
23 May
Malanti Chiefs
0 : 3
Moneni Pirates
20 May
Mbabane Swall.
1 : 1
Moneni Pirates
16 May
Amawele
0 : 1
Moneni Pirates
07 May
Moneni Pirates
1 : 1
Ubombo Sugar
Page 1 of 6

Amawele

(Away)
20 Sept
Ezulwini
3 : 0
Amawele
14 Jun
Viva Stumbo
1 : 2
Amawele
10 Jun
Amawele
0 : 1
Madlenya
06 Jun
Magwanyana
0 : 2
Amawele
23 May
Manzini Wanderers
0 : 2
Amawele
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nsingizini Hotspurs 30 20 5 5 44:14 65
2 Manzini Sea Birds 30 17 5 8 48:28 56
3 Young Buffaloes 30 16 6 8 43:23 54
4 Green Mamba 30 12 12 6 30:22 48
5 Mbabane Highlanders 30 12 10 8 40:29 46
6 Royal Leopards 30 11 11 8 51:37 44
7 Moneni Pirates 30 11 11 8 31:22 44
8 Mbabane Swall. 30 12 8 10 33:27 44
9 Tabankulu 30 12 5 13 34:32 41
10 Rangers FC 30 10 10 10 29:28 40
11 Ezulwini 30 10 9 11 32:33 39
12 Ubombo Sugar 30 9 8 13 25:38 35
13 Amawele 30 8 8 14 24:37 32
14 Malanti Chiefs 30 7 9 14 20:37 30
15 Sisonkhe 30 7 6 17 21:48 27
16 Manzini Wanderers 30 2 5 23 17:67 11
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Swazi MTN Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)