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Mongolia U17 vs Thailand U17

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17 2026
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Thailand U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mongolia U17
15%
Draws
34%
Thailand U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mongolia U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Thailand U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Thailand U17 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Thailand U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Thailand U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 66%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Mongolia U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Thailand U17 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mongolia U17 Thailand U17
Matches Played 9 30
Wins 2 14
Draws 0 2
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 0.44 2.67
Goals Conceded 3.56 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U17
Mongolia U17 vs Thailand U17
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mongolia U17 10 / 100
Thailand U17 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mongolia U17 Thailand U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thailand U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Thailand U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Thailand U17 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Mongolia U17 scored in 33% of their last 9 games.

Scoring Trends

Mongolia U17 VS Thailand U17
0.57 Goals Scored 5
3.43 Goals Conceded 1.38
71% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 75%
57% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Mongolia U17

(Home)
30 Nov
Mongolia U17
2 : 6
Turkmenistan U17
26 Nov
Kuwait U17
5 : 0
Mongolia U17
24 Nov
Mongolia U17
0 : 4
Thailand U17
22 Nov
Maldives U17
0 : 1
Mongolia U17
27 Oct
Mongolia U17
1 : 0
Nepal U17
Page 1 of 2

Thailand U17

(Away)
12 May
Thailand U17
2 : 2
Myanmar U17
09 May
Thailand U17
0 : 2
Saudi Arabia U17
05 May
Tajikistan U17
2 : 0
Thailand U17
30 Nov
Thailand U17
3 : 0
Kuwait U17
28 Nov
Turkmenistan U17
3 : 2
Thailand U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U17 5 5 0 0 42:0 15
2 Bangladesh U17 5 4 0 1 20:5 12
3 Bahrain U17 5 3 0 2 16:7 9
4 Timor-Leste U17 5 2 0 3 4:23 6
5 Sri Lanka U17 5 1 0 4 6:17 3
6 Brunei U17 5 0 0 5 0:36 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen U17 5 5 0 0 24:3 15
2 Laos U17 5 3 0 2 19:9 9
3 Pakistan U17 5 3 0 2 19:9 9
4 Kyrgyzstan U17 5 3 0 2 16:7 9
5 Cambodia U17 5 1 0 4 7:15 3
6 Guam U17 5 0 0 5 1:43 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U17 5 5 0 0 30:0 15
2 Malaysia U17 5 4 0 1 21:5 12
3 Hong Kong U17 5 2 1 2 7:4 7
4 Singapore U17 5 1 2 2 5:11 5
5 Macau U17 5 1 1 3 3:12 4
6 Northern Mariana Islands U17 5 0 0 5 1:35 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 India U17 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
2 Iran U17 4 2 1 1 10:4 7
3 Lebanon U17 4 1 3 0 4:2 6
4 Palestine U17 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
5 Chinese Taipei U17 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U17 4 3 1 0 13:3 10
2 Iraq U17 4 2 2 0 9:7 8
3 Jordan U17 4 2 1 1 13:4 7
4 Bhutan U17 4 0 1 3 0:9 1
5 Philippines U17 4 0 1 3 3:15 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U17 4 3 0 1 16:4 9
2 Turkmenistan U17 4 3 0 1 15:5 9
3 Kuwait U17 4 3 0 1 11:3 9
4 Mongolia U17 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
5 Maldives U17 4 0 0 4 1:19 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Myanmar U17 4 3 1 0 11:3 10
2 Oman U17 4 3 0 1 12:3 9
3 Syria U17 4 2 1 1 10:8 7
4 Afghanistan U17 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
5 Nepal U17 4 0 0 4 2:15 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)