Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mongolia U23 vs Hong Kong U23

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U23 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Yue Tze-Nam

AI Match Summary

The AFC Championship U23 2020 game between Mongolia U23 and Hong Kong U23 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hong Kong U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mongolia U23
15%
Draws
85%
Hong Kong U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hong Kong U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Hong Kong U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hong Kong U23's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Mongolia U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Hong Kong U23 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mongolia U23 Hong Kong U23
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 1 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0.65 0.93
Goals Conceded 3 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.39
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2019 AFC Asian Cup U23
Mongolia U23 vs Hong Kong U23
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mongolia U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Hong Kong U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yue Tze-Nam
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.17
Avg xA / game 1.33

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mongolia U23 10 / 100
Hong Kong U23 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mongolia U23 Hong Kong U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hong Kong U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hong Kong U23 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Hong Kong U23 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Mongolia U23 scored in 48% of their last 23 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mongolia U23 VS Hong Kong U23
0 Goals Scored 0.38
4.4 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 38%
40% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mongolia U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Lebanon U23
3 : 0
Mongolia U23
06 Sept
Mongolia U23
0 : 7
Malaysia U23
03 Sept
Thailand U23
6 : 0
Mongolia U23
24 Sept
Iran U23
3 : 0
Mongolia U23
21 Sept
Mongolia U23
0 : 3
Saudi Arabia U23
Page 1 of 5

Hong Kong U23

(Away)
23 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U23
4 : 0
Hong Kong U23
20 Sept
Hong Kong U23
1 : 5
Thailand U23
16 Sept
Japan U23
2 : 0
Hong Kong U23
09 Sept
Hong Kong U23
1 : 0
Guam U23
06 Sept
Hong Kong U23
0 : 2
United Arab Emirates U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U23 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Oman U23 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Afghanistan U23 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Nepal U23 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahrain U23 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Palestine U23 3 2 0 1 10:2 6
3 Bangladesh U23 3 1 0 2 2:2 3
4 Sri Lanka U23 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 2 1 0 7:0 7
2 Iran U23 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 Turkmenistan U23 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
4 Yemen U23 3 0 1 2 0:8 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates U23 3 2 1 0 10:2 7
2 Saudi Arabia U23 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
3 Lebanon U23 3 1 0 2 7:8 3
4 Maldives U23 3 0 0 3 0:15 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U23 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Syria U23 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
3 Kuwait U23 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
2 Tajikistan U23 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
3 India U23 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
4 Pakistan U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U23 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Singapore U23 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Hong Kong U23 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 2 1 0 16:3 7
2 Australia U23 3 2 1 0 14:2 7
3 Cambodia U23 3 0 1 2 2:13 1
4 Chinese Taipei U23 3 0 1 2 1:15 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 3 0 0 21:0 9
2 Myanmar U23 3 2 0 1 11:7 6
3 Timor-Leste U23 3 1 0 2 5:16 3
4 Macau U23 3 0 0 3 3:17 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U23 3 2 1 0 15:2 7
2 Malaysia U23 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Laos U23 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 Philippines U23 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 3 3 0 0 11:0 9
2 Thailand U23 3 2 0 1 12:4 6
3 Indonesia U23 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 1:16 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)