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Mongolia U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23

Asia Asia

Asian Games 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Asiri H.
49' Event
Maran M.
(Penalty)
51'
Sub
Batbayar T. In: Batmunkh B.
Out: Batbayar T.

AI Match Summary

The Asian Games 2022 game between Mongolia U23 and Saudi Arabia U23 finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saudi Arabia U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mongolia U23
15%
Draws
85%
Saudi Arabia U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saudi Arabia U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Saudi Arabia U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Saudi Arabia U23 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Asian Games 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Mongolia U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Saudi Arabia U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mongolia U23 Saudi Arabia U23
Matches Played 23 35
Wins 1 20
Draws 4 1
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.65 1.77
Goals Conceded 3 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 3.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2023 Asian Games
Mongolia U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23
0:3
Sep 6, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U23
Saudi Arabia U23 vs Mongolia U23
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mongolia U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Saudi Arabia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Asiri H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Masoud N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.35
Avg xA / game 2.05

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mongolia U23 10 / 100
Saudi Arabia U23 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mongolia U23 Saudi Arabia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saudi Arabia U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Saudi Arabia U23 let in goals in 60% of their last 35 matches.

Away concern: Saudi Arabia U23 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Mongolia U23 found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (23 games).

Scoring Trends

Mongolia U23 VS Saudi Arabia U23
0 Goals Scored 2.38
5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mongolia U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Lebanon U23
3 : 0
Mongolia U23
06 Sept
Mongolia U23
0 : 7
Malaysia U23
03 Sept
Thailand U23
6 : 0
Mongolia U23
24 Sept
Iran U23
3 : 0
Mongolia U23
21 Sept
Mongolia U23
0 : 3
Saudi Arabia U23
Page 1 of 5

Saudi Arabia U23

(Away)
25 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 0
Saudi Arabia U23
22 Sept
South Korea U23
2 : 0
Saudi Arabia U23
18 Sept
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 0
Qatar U23
12 Jan
Saudi Arabia U23
0 : 1
Vietnam U23
09 Jan
Jordan U23
3 : 2
Saudi Arabia U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U23 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 India U23 3 1 1 1 3:6 4
3 Myanmar U23 3 1 1 1 2:5 4
4 Bangladesh U23 3 0 1 2 0:2 1
Promotion - Asian Games 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U23 3 2 1 0 7:0 7
2 Saudi Arabia U23 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 Vietnam U23 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
Promotion - Asian Games 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
2 Hong Kong U23 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
3 Afghanistan U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Syria U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Games 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Palestine U23 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
3 Qatar U23 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
Promotion - Asian Games 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 3 0 0 16:0 9
2 Bahrain U23 3 0 2 1 2:5 2
3 Thailand U23 3 0 2 1 2:6 2
4 Kuwait U23 3 0 2 1 2:11 2
Promotion - Asian Games 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U23 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
3 Indonesia U23 3 1 0 2 2:2 3
4 Chinese Taipei U23 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
Promotion - Asian Games 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams