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Mongolia W vs Macau W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

East Asian Championship Women 2017
Sun, Jul 3, 2016
VS
04:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mongolia W host Macau W in the East Asian Championship Women 2017. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Macau W have shipped 5.93 goals a game lately, while Mongolia W have conceded 6.78 and scored 0.7. Past meetings favor Mongolia W slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 7, 2018, ending 0:0. xG projections (4.00 - 4.00) back Mongolia W to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mongolia W
15%
Draws
85%
Macau W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Macau W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Mongolia W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Macau W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 93%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Mongolia W Clean Sheet 10%
Macau W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mongolia W Macau W
Matches Played 23 15
Wins 2 0
Draws 3 3
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.7 0
Goals Conceded 6.78 5.93
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2018 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Mongolia W vs Macau W
0:0
Jul 3, 2016 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Mongolia W vs Macau W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mongolia W 10 / 100
Macau W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mongolia W Macau W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macau W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macau W has conceded goals in 80% of their last 15 outings.

Macau W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Mongolia W found the back of the net in 39% of recent matches (23 games).

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mongolia W VS Macau W
0.63 Goals Scored 0
9.63 Goals Conceded 8.29
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 86%

Recent Form & Match History

Mongolia W

(Home)
05 Jul
Timor-Leste W
3 : 1
Mongolia W
02 Jul
Mongolia W
0 : 11
Thailand W
26 Jun
Iraq W
5 : 2
Mongolia W
23 Jun
Mongolia W
0 : 13
India W
04 Dec
Hong Kong W
6 : 0
Mongolia W
Page 1 of 5

Macau W

(Away)
07 Jun
Guam W
3 : 0
Macau W
05 Jun
Macau W
0 : 13
South Korea W
07 Apr
Bhutan W
7 : 0
Macau W
16 Jul
Singapore W
9 : 0
Macau W
06 Dec
Northern Mariana Islands W
4 : 0
Macau W
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guam W 2 2 0 0 10:0 6
2 Northern Mariana Islands W 2 0 1 1 0:5 1
3 Macau W 2 0 1 1 0:5 1
4 Mongolia W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - East Asian Championship Women 2017 (Second stage)