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Mongolia W vs Northern Mariana Islands W

Asia Asia

EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Griffin G.
21' Event
Castillo J.
51' Event
Narmandakh N.

AI Match Summary

The EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women 2019 game between Mongolia W and Northern Mariana Islands W finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mongolia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Mongolia W
6%
Draws
90%
Northern Mariana Islands W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Northern Mariana Islands W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Northern Mariana Islands W come out ahead of Mongolia W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Northern Mariana Islands W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women 2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Mongolia W Clean Sheet 10%
Northern Mariana Islands W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mongolia W Northern Mariana Islands W
Matches Played 23 21
Wins 2 3
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 9.63 6.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 9.63 6.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2023 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Mongolia W vs Northern Mariana Islands W
3:4
Sep 3, 2018 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Mongolia W vs Northern Mariana Islands W
3:2
Jun 29, 2016 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Mongolia W vs Northern Mariana Islands W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mongolia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Narmandakh N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ganchimeg T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Northern Mariana Islands W Compare

Top Goalscorer Griffin G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castillo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mongolia W 10 / 100
Northern Mariana Islands W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mongolia W Northern Mariana Islands W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Northern Mariana Islands W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 21 outings.

Difficult form: Northern Mariana Islands W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Mongolia W's goal record stands at 39% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mongolia W VS Northern Mariana Islands W
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
9.63 Goals Conceded 6.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Mongolia W

(Home)
05 Jul
Timor-Leste W
3 : 1
Mongolia W
02 Jul
Mongolia W
0 : 11
Thailand W
26 Jun
Iraq W
5 : 2
Mongolia W
23 Jun
Mongolia W
0 : 13
India W
04 Dec
Hong Kong W
6 : 0
Mongolia W
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Northern Mariana Islands W

(Away)
07 Jun
Northern Mariana Islands W
0 : 13
Chinese Taipei W
05 Jun
Chinese Taipei W
5 : 0
Northern Mariana Islands W
07 Apr
Northern Mariana Islands W
2 : 2
Guam W
06 Apr
Northern Mariana Islands W
0 : 3
Guam W
06 Dec
Northern Mariana Islands W
4 : 0
Macau W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mongolia W32104:27
2Guam W31115:14
3Northern Mariana Islands W30212:32
4Macau W30210:52
Promotion - EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women 2019 (Second stage)