Sport Picks

Asia

Asian Cup Women 2022

South Korea W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mongolia W play South Korea W in the Asian Cup Women 2022. South Korea W are favorites here. Recently, Mongolia W averaged 0.7 goals scored and 6.78 conceded. South Korea W averaged 2.48 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Mongolia W won 0, South Korea W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 17, 2021 ended 0:12. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Mongolia W and 4.00 for South Korea W. This points to a South Korea W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Mongolia W

17%

Draws

70%

South Korea W

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: South Korea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Mongolia W picked up more points recently compared to South Korea W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 4.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 86%

Over 1.5 Goals 93%

Over 2.5 Goals 82%

Over 3.5 Goals 49%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Mongolia W Clean Sheet 10%

South Korea W Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 84%

Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mongolia W	South Korea W
Matches Played	23	31
Wins	2	13
Draws	3	6
Losses	18	12
Goals Scored	0.7	2.48
Goals Conceded	6.78	1.77
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	8.00	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2021 Asian Cup Women

Mongolia W vs South Korea W

Possession: 58% - 57% Cards: 0 - 1

0:12

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mongolia W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

South Korea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Moon Mi-Ra

3 Goals

Assists Leader Choo Hyo-Joo

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mongolia W 14 / 100

South Korea W 66 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mongolia W South Korea W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Korea W Win (2)

Secondary Pick South Korea W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +160%

20.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.2%

1.32

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mongolia W attacking → ← attacking South Korea W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mongolia W scored in 39% of their last 23 games.

South Korea W let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 12.00 goals.

Mongolia W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

South Korea W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 45

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

8.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Chinese Taipei W	2	2	0	0	6:0	6
2	Bahrain W	2	0	1	1	0:2	1
3	Laos W	2	0	1	1	0:4	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vietnam W	2	2	0	23:0	6
2	Tajikistan W	2	1	1	4:7	3
3	Maldives W	2	0	2	0:20	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Indonesia W	2	2	0	0	2:0	6
2	Singapore W	2	0	0	2	0:2	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Myanmar W	3	3	0	14:0	9
2	Lebanon W	3	2	1	4:4	6
3	United Arab Emirates W	3	1	2	2:4	3
4	Guam W	3	0	3	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	South Korea W	2	2	0	16:0	6
2	Uzbekistan W	2	1	1	12:4	3
3	Mongolia W	2	0	2	0:24	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Philippines W	2	2	0	0	4:2	6
2	Hong Kong W	2	0	1	1	1:2	1
3	Nepal W	2	0	1	1	1:2	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Iran W	1	1	0	5:0	3
2	Jordan W	1	1	0	5:0	3
3	Bangladesh W	2	0	2	0:10	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Thailand W	2	2	0	11:0	6
2	Malaysia W	2	1	1	2:4	3
3	Palestine W	2	0	2	0:9	0