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Monopoli U19 vs Crotone U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2025/2026
Monopoli U19 Logo

Monopoli U19

2 - 1
FT
Crotone U19 Logo

Crotone U19

Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Cosentino A.
77' Event
Diugevic N.
90' Event
Positano G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Monopoli U19 in this Primavera 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monopoli U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Monopoli U19
20%
Draws
16%
Crotone U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monopoli U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Monopoli U19 lately — more wins on the board than Crotone U19.
  • Model gives Monopoli U19 a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primavera 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Monopoli U19 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Monopoli U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Crotone U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monopoli U19 Crotone U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 1
Draws 6 10
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.4 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Primavera 2
Monopoli U19 vs Crotone U19
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 Primavera 2
Crotone U19 vs Monopoli U19
0:2
May 24, 2025 Primavera 2
Monopoli U19 vs Crotone U19
0:0
May 17, 2025 Primavera 2
Crotone U19 vs Monopoli U19
0:3
May 3, 2025 Primavera 2
Crotone U19 vs Monopoli U19
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monopoli U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Diugevic N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Positano G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Crotone U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cosentino A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monopoli U19 95 / 100
Crotone U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monopoli U19 Crotone U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monopoli U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crotone U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Monopoli U19's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Crotone U19 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monopoli U19 VS Crotone U19
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Monopoli U19

(Home)
12 Sept
Perugia U19
3 : 0
Monopoli U19
05 Sept
Monopoli U19
4 : 0
Cosenza U19
22 Aug
Monopoli U19
2 : 3
Union Brescia U19
09 May
Monopoli U19
1 : 1
Cosenza U19
02 May
Catanzaro U19
3 : 0
Monopoli U19
Page 1 of 6

Crotone U19

(Away)
09 May
Crotone U19
2 : 2
Catanzaro U19
02 May
Cosenza U19
2 : 0
Crotone U19
25 Apr
Crotone U19
0 : 4
Bari U19
18 Apr
Palermo U19
7 : 1
Crotone U19
11 Apr
Crotone U19
2 : 3
Pescara U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como U19 30 18 7 5 58:31 61
2 Lecco U19 30 18 6 6 65:50 60
3 Modena U19 30 16 7 7 55:38 55
4 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 14 5 11 58:59 47
5 Reggiana U19 30 13 7 10 58:44 46
6 Pro Vercelli U19 30 14 4 12 44:46 46
7 Entella U19 30 10 13 7 47:38 43
8 Sampdoria U19 30 12 5 13 57:48 41
9 Vicenza U19 30 10 8 12 45:53 38
10 Sudtirol U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Udinese U19 30 9 9 12 53:50 36
12 Cittadella U19 30 9 9 12 42:49 36
13 Renate U19 30 7 12 11 34:44 33
14 Union Brescia U19 30 9 3 18 31:46 30
15 Venezia U19 30 6 8 16 32:63 26
16 Padova U19 30 6 7 17 34:53 25
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Empoli U19 30 23 5 2 74:19 74
2 Perugia U19 30 16 7 7 47:27 55
3 Pescara U19 30 15 7 8 51:37 52
4 Avellino U19 30 13 12 5 54:36 51
5 Pisa U19 30 13 9 8 54:41 48
6 Spezia U19 30 15 3 12 55:43 48
7 Catanzaro U19 30 14 6 10 42:35 48
8 Benevento U19 30 13 5 12 42:50 44
9 Ternana U19 30 11 9 10 51:54 42
10 Monopoli U19 30 10 7 13 39:50 37
11 Bari U19 30 9 8 13 42:42 35
12 Ascoli U19 30 8 9 13 47:50 33
13 Palermo U19 30 5 12 13 35:43 27
14 Cosenza U19 30 6 9 15 32:62 27
15 Salernitana U19 30 6 6 18 28:62 24
16 Crotone U19 30 1 10 19 20:62 13
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)