Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monopoli U19 vs Spezia U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Vannucci T.
39' Event
Martinelli N.
67'

AI Match Summary

Spezia U19 in this Primavera 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spezia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Monopoli U19
30%
Draws
41%
Spezia U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spezia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Spezia U19 have won more games recently than Monopoli U19.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Primavera 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Spezia U19 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Monopoli U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Spezia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monopoli U19 Spezia U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Primavera 2
Monopoli U19 vs Spezia U19
0:2
Jan 17, 2026 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Monopoli U19
6:0
Mar 15, 2025 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Monopoli U19
1:1
Jan 18, 2025 Primavera 2
Monopoli U19 vs Spezia U19
1:3
Aug 21, 2024 Coppa Italia Primavera
Spezia U19 vs Monopoli U19
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monopoli U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Spezia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vannucci T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinelli N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monopoli U19 32 / 100
Spezia U19 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monopoli U19 Spezia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spezia U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Monopoli U19 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Spezia U19 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Monopoli U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monopoli U19 VS Spezia U19
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Monopoli U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Monopoli U19
2 : 2
Pescara U19
12 Sept
Perugia U19
3 : 0
Monopoli U19
05 Sept
Monopoli U19
4 : 0
Cosenza U19
22 Aug
Monopoli U19
2 : 3
Union Brescia U19
09 May
Monopoli U19
1 : 1
Cosenza U19
Page 1 of 6

Spezia U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Pisa U19
0 : 3
Spezia U19
12 Sept
Spezia U19
2 : 3
Palermo U19
05 Sept
Ascoli U19
1 : 1
Spezia U19
09 May
Pisa U19
2 : 1
Spezia U19
02 May
Spezia U19
2 : 1
Ternana U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como U19 30 18 7 5 58:31 61
2 Lecco U19 30 18 6 6 65:50 60
3 Modena U19 30 16 7 7 55:38 55
4 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 14 5 11 58:59 47
5 Reggiana U19 30 13 7 10 58:44 46
6 Pro Vercelli U19 30 14 4 12 44:46 46
7 Entella U19 30 10 13 7 47:38 43
8 Sampdoria U19 30 12 5 13 57:48 41
9 Vicenza U19 30 10 8 12 45:53 38
10 Sudtirol U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Udinese U19 30 9 9 12 53:50 36
12 Cittadella U19 30 9 9 12 42:49 36
13 Renate U19 30 7 12 11 34:44 33
14 Union Brescia U19 30 9 3 18 31:46 30
15 Venezia U19 30 6 8 16 32:63 26
16 Padova U19 30 6 7 17 34:53 25
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Empoli U19 30 23 5 2 74:19 74
2 Perugia U19 30 16 7 7 47:27 55
3 Pescara U19 30 15 7 8 51:37 52
4 Avellino U19 30 13 12 5 54:36 51
5 Pisa U19 30 13 9 8 54:41 48
6 Spezia U19 30 15 3 12 55:43 48
7 Catanzaro U19 30 14 6 10 42:35 48
8 Benevento U19 30 13 5 12 42:50 44
9 Ternana U19 30 11 9 10 51:54 42
10 Monopoli U19 30 10 7 13 39:50 37
11 Bari U19 30 9 8 13 42:42 35
12 Ascoli U19 30 8 9 13 47:50 33
13 Palermo U19 30 5 12 13 35:43 27
14 Cosenza U19 30 6 9 15 32:62 27
15 Salernitana U19 30 6 6 18 28:62 24
16 Crotone U19 30 1 10 19 20:62 13
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)