Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
38'
38'
Longo S.
45'
45'
Della Morte M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Monopoli and Benevento finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monopoli.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Benevento
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Benevento come out ahead of Monopoli on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Benevento's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Monopoli Clean Sheet 17%
Benevento Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Monopoli | Benevento |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 10 | 22 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 23, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Benevento
2:1
Nov 16, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Benevento vs Monopoli
3:1
Feb 3, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Benevento vs Monopoli
0:0
Sep 26, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Benevento
1:0
Mar 23, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Benevento vs Monopoli
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Monopoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Longo S.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Benevento Compare
Top Goalscorer Della Morte M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Monopoli 28 / 100
Benevento 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Monopoli Benevento
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Benevento Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Monopoli scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Defensive concern: Benevento conceded in 58% of 33 recent games.
Monopoli went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Monopoli VS Benevento
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Monopoli
(Home) 14 Aug
Audace Cerignola
1 : 2 Monopoli
09 Aug
Lecce
1 : 0 Monopoli
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1 Vibonese
03 May
Monopoli
0 : 2 Casarano
26 Apr
Potenza
2 : 2 Monopoli
Page 1 of 6
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1 Vibonese
03 May
Monopoli
0 : 2 Casarano
19 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 0 Foggia
04 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 1 Trapani
23 Mar
Monopoli
2 : 1 Benevento
Page 1 of 3
Benevento
(Away) 14 Aug
Fiorentina
4 : 1 Benevento
09 Aug
Benevento
5 : 3 Ravenna
01 Aug
Frosinone
2 : 2 Benevento
31 Jul
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2 Benevento
26 Jul
Ostiamare
0 : 2 Benevento
Page 1 of 7
14 Aug
Fiorentina
4 : 1 Benevento
01 Aug
Frosinone
2 : 2 Benevento
31 Jul
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2 Benevento
26 Jul
Ostiamare
0 : 2 Benevento
16 May
Vicenza
1 : 4 Benevento
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benevento | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 74:28 | 82 |
| 2 | Catania | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54:25 | 70 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:42 | 69 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 58:40 | 67 |
| 5 | Casertana | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 55:44 | 66 |
| 6 | Crotone | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 59:40 | 61 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 39:41 | 56 |
| 8 | Casarano | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 56:57 | 56 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:54 | 54 |
| 10 | Potenza | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 54:56 | 49 |
| 11 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 53:50 | 45 |
| 12 | Altamura | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 32:49 | 45 |
| 13 | Latina | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 35:44 | 42 |
| 14 | Cavese | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 15 | Picerno | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43:55 | 40 |
| 16 | Sorrento | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 39:55 | 39 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 18 | Foggia | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28:60 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 48:57 | 26 |
| 20 | Trapani | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:54 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
