Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monopoli vs Catania

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani, Monopoli
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Monopoli host Catania in the Serie C - Group C. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Monopoli at 0.86 goals for, 1 against; Catania at 1.23 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Monopoli have won 0 to Catania's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.13 - 1.06) back Catania to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Monopoli
15%
Draws
57%
Catania
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Catania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Catania carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Monopoli are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Catania here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Monopoli Clean Sheet 20%
Catania Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monopoli Catania
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 11
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.86 1.23
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Catania
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Monopoli
4:0
Feb 9, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Catania
1:2
Sep 29, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Monopoli
1:0
Jan 28, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Monopoli
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monopoli 36 / 100
Catania 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monopoli Catania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Monopoli scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Catania let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Catania has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Monopoli VS Catania
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Monopoli

(Home)
24 Aug
Altamura
1 : 0
Monopoli
14 Aug
Audace Cerignola
1 : 2
Monopoli
09 Aug
Lecce
1 : 0
Monopoli
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1
Vibonese
03 May
Monopoli
0 : 2
Casarano
Page 1 of 6

Catania

(Away)
23 Aug
Catania
1 : 2
Inter U23
14 Aug
Parma
2 : 0
Catania
08 Aug
Vicenza
1 : 2
Catania
27 May
Catania
2 : 1
Ascoli
24 May
Ascoli
4 : 0
Catania
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Bari 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Audace Cerignola 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Picerno 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
5 Sorrento 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Inter U23 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 Foggia 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Altamura 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
9 Scafatese 1 0 1 0 3:3 1
10 Barletta 1 0 1 0 3:3 1
11 Giugliano 1 0 1 0 3:3 1
12 Casertana 1 0 1 0 3:3 1
13 A.C. Savoia 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
14 Salernitana 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
15 Catania 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
16 Monopoli 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
17 Cosenza 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
18 Casarano 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
19 Cavese 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
20 Crotone 1 0 0 1 0:1 -6
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)