Sport Picks
Match Events
38'
38'
Piovanello E.
45'
45'
Vinciguerra A.
46'
46'
Sub
Longo S. In: Fall M.
Out: Longo S.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Monopoli and Crotone finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Crotone carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Monopoli Clean Sheet 16%
Crotone Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Monopoli | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Crotone
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Monopoli
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Monopoli
2:0
Oct 12, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Crotone
1:1
Apr 21, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Monopoli
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Monopoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Fall M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Crotone Compare
Top Goalscorer Piovanello E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Monopoli 31 / 100
Crotone 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Monopoli Crotone
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Monopoli scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Crotone has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Monopoli went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Monopoli VS Crotone
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Monopoli
(Home) 03 May
Monopoli
0 : 2 Casarano
26 Apr
Potenza
2 : 2 Monopoli
19 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 0 Foggia
12 Apr
Atalanta U23
2 : 0 Monopoli
04 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 1 Trapani
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Monopoli
0 : 2 Casarano
19 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 0 Foggia
04 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 1 Trapani
23 Mar
Monopoli
2 : 1 Benevento
09 Mar
Monopoli
2 : 1 Casarano
Page 1 of 4
Crotone
(Away) 06 May
Casertana
1 : 1 Crotone
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1 Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Crotone
2 : 5 Latina
19 Apr
Casarano
1 : 2 Crotone
13 Apr
Crotone
2 : 0 Catania
Page 1 of 6
06 May
Casertana
1 : 1 Crotone
19 Apr
Casarano
1 : 2 Crotone
06 Apr
Giugliano
1 : 0 Crotone
22 Mar
Sorrento
2 : 2 Crotone
08 Mar
Trapani
1 : 4 Crotone
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benevento | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 74:28 | 82 |
| 2 | Catania | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54:25 | 70 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:42 | 69 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 58:40 | 67 |
| 5 | Casertana | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 55:44 | 66 |
| 6 | Crotone | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 59:40 | 61 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 39:41 | 56 |
| 8 | Casarano | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 56:57 | 56 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:54 | 54 |
| 10 | Potenza | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 54:56 | 49 |
| 11 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 53:50 | 45 |
| 12 | Altamura | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 32:49 | 45 |
| 13 | Latina | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 35:44 | 42 |
| 14 | Cavese | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 15 | Picerno | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43:55 | 40 |
| 16 | Sorrento | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 39:55 | 39 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 18 | Foggia | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28:60 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 48:57 | 26 |
| 20 | Trapani | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:54 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
