Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Bordo L.
(Penalty)
1'
1'
D'Auria G.
(Penalty)
2'
2'
Battocchio C.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
Potenza in this Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Potenza lately — more wins on the board than Monopoli.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Potenza arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Potenza, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Monopoli Clean Sheet 68%
Potenza Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Monopoli | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 34 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Monopoli
2:2
Dec 21, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Potenza
2:1
Oct 29, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Monopoli vs Potenza
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Potenza
0:0
Nov 23, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Monopoli
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Monopoli 41 / 100
Potenza 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Monopoli Potenza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Monopoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Monopoli scored in 64% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Potenza conceded in 74% of 34 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Potenza lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Monopoli VS Potenza
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Monopoli
(Home) 14 Aug
Audace Cerignola
1 : 2 Monopoli
09 Aug
Lecce
1 : 0 Monopoli
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1 Vibonese
03 May
Monopoli
0 : 2 Casarano
26 Apr
Potenza
2 : 2 Monopoli
Page 1 of 6
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1 Vibonese
03 May
Monopoli
0 : 2 Casarano
19 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 0 Foggia
04 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 1 Trapani
23 Mar
Monopoli
2 : 1 Benevento
Page 1 of 3
Potenza
(Away) 21 Aug
Potenza
4 : 1 Casarano
08 Aug
Ascoli
3 : 1 Potenza
26 Jul
Potenza
0 : 4 Juve Stabia
20 May
Ascoli
1 : 0 Potenza
17 May
Potenza
0 : 0 Ascoli
Page 1 of 7
08 Aug
Ascoli
3 : 1 Potenza
20 May
Ascoli
1 : 0 Potenza
10 May
Campobasso
0 : 3 Potenza
19 Apr
Catania
1 : 1 Potenza
06 Apr
Casarano
2 : 1 Potenza
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ternana -
TBD -
Campobasso 3
Casertana 0
Giugliano 4
Pianese 1
Benevento 1
Guidonia 1937 0
Sambenedettese 2
Vis Pesaro 0
Pineto 2
Ascoli 3
Carpi 1
Trento 0
Union Brescia 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Monopoli 1
Cosenza 0
Potenza 1
Cavese 0
Audace Cerignola -
TBD -
Casarano 1
Altamura 0
Salernitana 1
Sorrento 2
Picerno 1
Trapani 2
Crotone 1
Catania 0
Foggia 2
Siracusa 1
Rimini -
TBD -
Ravenna 2
Cittadella 0
Virtus Verona 2
Forli FC 3
Arzignano 2
Triestina 1
Lecco 0
Ospitaletto 1
Lumezzane 1
Inter U23 2
Pergolettese 1
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Novara 0
Vicenza -
TBD -
AlbinoLeffe 0
Pro Vercelli 3
Giana Erminio 1
Atalanta U23 4
Pro Patria 1
Alcione Milano 2
Arezzo 2
Bra 1
Sassari Torres 2
Livorno 1
Latina 1
Gubbio 0
Perugia 1
US Pontedera 0
1/16-finals
Ternana 1
Campobasso 0
Giugliano 2
Benevento 0
Sambenedettese 2
Ascoli 1
Carpi 0
Union Brescia 1
Monopoli 0
Potenza 1
Audace Cerignola 2
Casarano 1
Sorrento 2
Trapani 1
Crotone 1
Foggia 0
Rimini 0
Ravenna 3
Forli FC 0
Arzignano 1
Ospitaletto 1
Inter U23 2
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Vicenza 0
Pro Vercelli 1
Atalanta U23 2
Alcione Milano 1
Arezzo 2
Sassari Torres 0
Latina 2
Perugia 1
1/8-finals
Ternana 3
Giugliano 1
Sambenedettese 1
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 4
Audace Cerignola 2
Sorrento 1
Crotone 3
Ravenna 3
Arzignano 0
Inter U23 2
Renate 3
Pro Vercelli 5
Atalanta U23 1
Arezzo 0
Latina 1
Quarter-finals
Ternana 4
Union Brescia 1
Potenza 3
Crotone 1
Ravenna 1
Renate 2
Pro Vercelli 0
Latina 1
Semi-finals
Ternana 1
Potenza 2
Renate 2
Latina 3
Final
Potenza 3
Latina 2
