Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monopoli vs Taranto

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2024/2025 Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani, Monopoli
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Grandolfo F.
16'
Shiba C.
24' Event
Bruschi N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Monopoli in this Serie C - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monopoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Monopoli
15%
Draws
0%
Taranto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monopoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Monopoli lately — more wins on the board than Taranto.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Monopoli Clean Sheet 68%
Taranto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monopoli Taranto
Matches Played 29 20
Wins 11 3
Draws 7 1
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 0.97 0.4
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.95
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Taranto vs Monopoli
0:0
Dec 15, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Taranto
4:0
Apr 14, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Taranto
1:2
Dec 11, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Taranto vs Monopoli
1:0
Dec 23, 2022 Serie C - Group C
Taranto vs Monopoli
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monopoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Grandolfo F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bruschi N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Taranto Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monopoli 42 / 100
Taranto 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monopoli Taranto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taranto let in goals in 80% of their last 20 matches.

Difficult form: Taranto registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Monopoli scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Monopoli VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Monopoli

(Home)
24 Aug
Altamura
1 : 0
Monopoli
14 Aug
Audace Cerignola
1 : 2
Monopoli
09 Aug
Lecce
1 : 0
Monopoli
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1
Vibonese
03 May
Monopoli
0 : 2
Casarano
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Taranto

(Away)
21 Feb
Picerno
7 : 0
Taranto
14 Feb
Taranto
0 : 3
Foggia
08 Feb
Sorrento
6 : 0
Taranto
03 Feb
Taranto
0 : 6
Casertana
27 Jan
Altamura
5 : 1
Taranto
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avellino 34 22 9 3 61:26 75
2 Audace Cerignola 34 19 10 5 50:32 67
3 Monopoli 34 15 12 7 36:25 57
4 Crotone 34 15 9 10 62:49 54
5 Catania 34 14 12 8 49:34 53
6 Benevento 34 13 13 8 51:34 52
7 Potenza 34 12 13 9 55:52 49
8 Picerno 34 10 18 6 39:27 48
9 Juventus U23 34 12 8 14 44:45 44
10 Giugliano 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
11 Trapani 34 11 8 15 42:42 41
12 Cavese 34 10 11 13 34:39 41
13 Altamura 34 9 10 15 35:47 37
14 Sorrento 34 9 8 17 26:49 35
15 Latina 34 9 7 18 25:56 34
16 Casertana 34 6 14 14 30:38 32
17 Foggia 34 7 10 17 34:51 31
18 ACR Messina 34 6 11 17 29:53 25
19 Turris 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Taranto 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)