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Monopoli vs Trapani

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani, Monopoli
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Knezovic B.
39'
Fedel G.
44'
Benedetti A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Monopoli
30%
Draws
23%
Trapani
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monopoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Monopoli lately — more wins on the board than Trapani.
  • Win probability leans Monopoli's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Monopoli Clean Sheet 20%
Trapani Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monopoli Trapani
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0.86 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Trapani
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Trapani vs Monopoli
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Trapani vs Monopoli
0:1
Oct 26, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Trapani
2:2
Aug 17, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie C
Trapani vs Monopoli
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monopoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Scipioni E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

Trapani Compare

Top Goalscorer Knezovic B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monopoli 36 / 100
Trapani 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monopoli Trapani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Trapani conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Monopoli found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Away concern: Trapani has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Monopoli VS Trapani
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.29
75% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Monopoli

(Home)
14 Aug
Audace Cerignola
1 : 2
Monopoli
09 Aug
Lecce
1 : 0
Monopoli
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1
Vibonese
03 May
Monopoli
0 : 2
Casarano
26 Apr
Potenza
2 : 2
Monopoli
Page 1 of 6

Trapani

(Away)
26 Apr
Trapani
2 : 2
Siracusa
19 Apr
Cosenza
1 : 0
Trapani
12 Apr
Trapani
1 : 2
Salernitana
04 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 1
Trapani
29 Mar
Foggia
1 : 0
Trapani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)