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Mons Calpe vs Glacis United

Gibraltar Gibraltar

National League
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AI Match Summary

Mons Calpe in this National League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mons Calpe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mons Calpe
20%
Draws
40%
Glacis United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Glacis United haven't matched Mons Calpe's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Mons Calpe taking it.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mons Calpe have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Mons Calpe Clean Sheet 19%
Glacis United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mons Calpe Glacis United
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 21 7
Draws 2 4
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 2.25 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 National League
Mons Calpe vs Glacis United
2:0
Feb 28, 2026 Gibraltar Cup
Glacis United vs Mons Calpe
0:2
Dec 20, 2025 National League
Glacis United vs Mons Calpe
0:4
Sep 20, 2025 National League
Mons Calpe vs Glacis United
2:0
Jan 13, 2025 National League
Mons Calpe vs Glacis United
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mons Calpe 85 / 100
Glacis United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mons Calpe Glacis United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mons Calpe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mons Calpe scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Glacis United conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Mons Calpe remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mons Calpe VS Glacis United
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mons Calpe

(Home)
20 Sept
Europa FC
1 : 2
Mons Calpe
13 Sept
Mons Calpe
1 : 1
Lincoln Red Imps
06 Sept
Mons Calpe
2 : 0
Glacis United
28 Aug
St Josephs
2 : 1
Mons Calpe
25 Apr
Europa FC
4 : 1
Mons Calpe
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Glacis United

(Away)
20 Sept
Lions Gibraltar
0 : 4
Glacis United
13 Sept
Glacis United
1 : 0
Lynx
06 Sept
Mons Calpe
2 : 0
Glacis United
30 Aug
Glacis United
0 : 2
Lincoln Red Imps
22 Aug
Europa FC
2 : 2
Glacis United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Magpies 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
2 St Josephs 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
3 Lincoln Red Imps 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
4 Mons Calpe 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
5 Glacis United 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
6 Lions Gibraltar 5 2 1 2 10:11 7
7 Europa Point 5 2 1 2 8:11 7
8 Europa FC 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
9 College 1975 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
10 Hound Dogs 4 0 1 3 3:12 1
11 Lynx 5 0 1 4 2:13 1
Promotion - National League (Championship Group)
Relegation - National League (Relegation Group)