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Mons Calpe vs Glacis United

Gibraltar Gibraltar

National League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mons Calpe play Glacis United in the National League. Mons Calpe are favorites here. Recently, Mons Calpe averaged 2.28 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. Glacis United averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. In past meetings, Mons Calpe won 3, Glacis United won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 28, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.17 for Mons Calpe and 0.66 for Glacis United. This points to a Mons Calpe double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Mons Calpe
15%
Draws
21%
Glacis United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mons Calpe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Mons Calpe picked up more points recently compared to Glacis United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.17 vs 0.66 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Mons Calpe Clean Sheet 28%
Glacis United Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mons Calpe Glacis United
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 6
Draws 2 3
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 2.28 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.44 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Gibraltar Cup
Glacis United vs Mons Calpe
0:2
Dec 20, 2025 National League
Glacis United vs Mons Calpe
0:4
Sep 20, 2025 National League
Mons Calpe vs Glacis United
2:0
Jan 13, 2025 National League
Mons Calpe vs Glacis United
1:3
Oct 6, 2024 National League
Glacis United vs Mons Calpe
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mons Calpe 63 / 100
Glacis United 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mons Calpe Glacis United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mons Calpe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Mons Calpe & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.6%
1.79
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mons Calpe attacking → ← attacking Glacis United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mons Calpe scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Glacis United let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Mons Calpe went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Glacis United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 21
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.57
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.71

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lincoln Red Imps22192179:1459
2St Josephs22191290:1058
3Mons Calpe22151655:2446
4Europa FC22151644:1646
5Lions Gibraltar22122847:3438
6Lynx22104834:3334
7Magpies22821222:3726
8Europa Point22711431:6122
9College 197522351415:4514
10Glacis United22331618:5712
11Hound Dogs22151610:668
12Manchester 6222611529:777