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Mons Calpe vs St Josephs

Gibraltar Gibraltar

National League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mons Calpe play St Josephs in the National League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mons Calpe averaged 2.3 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. St Josephs averaged 3.27 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. In past meetings, Mons Calpe won 2, St Josephs won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Mons Calpe and 1.63 for St Josephs. This points to a St Josephs double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Mons Calpe
15%
Draws
44%
St Josephs
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St Josephs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Mons Calpe picked up more points recently compared to St Josephs.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Mons Calpe Clean Sheet 14%
St Josephs Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mons Calpe St Josephs
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 21
Draws 1 4
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 2.3 3.27
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 National League
Mons Calpe vs St Josephs
3:2
Dec 12, 2025 National League
Mons Calpe vs St Josephs
1:3
Sep 13, 2025 National League
St Josephs vs Mons Calpe
1:3
Dec 15, 2024 National League
St Josephs vs Mons Calpe
2:1
Sep 15, 2024 National League
Mons Calpe vs St Josephs
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mons Calpe 40 / 100
St Josephs 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mons Calpe St Josephs

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: St Josephs or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mons Calpe attacking → ← attacking St Josephs

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mons Calpe scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

St Josephs let in goals in 40% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Mons Calpe went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

St Josephs lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 67
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lincoln Red Imps22192179:1459
2St Josephs22191290:1058
3Mons Calpe22151655:2446
4Europa FC22151644:1646
5Lions Gibraltar22122847:3438
6Lynx22104834:3334
7Magpies22821222:3726
8Europa Point22711431:6122
9College 197522351415:4514
10Glacis United22331618:5712
11Hound Dogs22151610:668
12Manchester 6222611529:777