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Mons Claudius vs Smarje Prediction & H2H Stats

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - North 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mons Claudius in this 3. SNL - North 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mons Claudius.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Mons Claudius
15%
Draws
28%
Smarje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mons Claudius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Smarje have won more games recently than Mons Claudius.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Mons Claudius taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Mons Claudius Clean Sheet 19%
Smarje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mons Claudius Smarje
Matches Played 34 38
Wins 5 9
Draws 11 4
Losses 18 25
Goals Scored 1.03 1.16
Goals Conceded 2.21 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2018 3. SNL - North
Mons Claudius vs Smarje
2:1
Oct 21, 2017 3. SNL - North
Smarje vs Mons Claudius
5:0
Apr 1, 2017 3. SNL - North
Mons Claudius vs Smarje
1:0
Sep 10, 2016 3. SNL - North
Smarje vs Mons Claudius
2:1
Apr 23, 2016 3. SNL - North
Smarje vs Mons Claudius
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mons Claudius 85 / 100
Smarje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mons Claudius Smarje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mons Claudius Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Smarje conceded in 87% of 38 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Smarje registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Mons Claudius scored in 59% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Smarje
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mons Claudius

(Home)
02 Sept
Mons Claudius
0 : 8
Radomlje
05 Feb
Mons Claudius
0 : 9
Rogaska
13 Oct
Mons Claudius
1 : 2
Dravograd
06 Oct
Pohorje
1 : 3
Mons Claudius
29 Sept
Mons Claudius
2 : 0
Dravinja
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Smarje

(Away)
31 Oct
Smarje
1 : 4
Rogaska
28 May
Zavrc
12 : 0
Smarje
21 May
Smarje
1 : 4
Sampion Celje
14 May
Bistrica
12 : 1
Smarje
07 May
Smarje
3 : 1
Posavje Krsko
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dravograd 26 18 7 1 66:18 61
2 Sampion Celje 26 17 8 1 60:19 59
3 Dravinja 26 13 7 6 49:27 46
4 Pesnica 26 13 6 7 39:30 45
5 Bistrica 26 11 8 7 40:32 41
6 Zrece 26 12 4 10 58:37 40
7 SD Videm 26 10 5 11 38:43 35
8 Pohorje 26 10 5 11 41:50 35
9 Mons Claudius 26 7 10 9 32:43 31
10 Dobrovce 26 8 4 14 36:45 28
11 Sentjur 26 7 3 16 34:65 24
12 Korotan Prevalje 26 7 2 17 35:43 23
13 Lenart 26 7 2 17 30:64 23
14 Smarje 26 6 1 19 26:68 19
Promotion - 3. SNL - Promotion Play Offs 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)