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Mons vs Tubize-Braine

Belgium Belgium

Proximus League 2014/2015 Stade Charles Tondreau
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mons play Tubize-Braine in the Proximus League 2014/2015. Mons are favorites here. Recently, Mons averaged 1.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Tubize-Braine averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. In past meetings, Mons won 4, Tubize-Braine won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 14, 2015 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Mons and 1.00 for Tubize-Braine. This points to a Mons double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Mons
25%
Draws
15%
Tubize-Braine
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Mons

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Mons picked up more points recently compared to Tubize-Braine.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Mons Clean Sheet 23%
Tubize-Braine Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mons Tubize-Braine
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 16
Draws 11 9
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.7 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.19

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2015 Challenger Pro League
Mons vs Tubize-Braine
4:0
Oct 18, 2014 Challenger Pro League
Tubize-Braine vs Mons
2:2
Jun 22, 2013 Club Friendly
Tubize-Braine vs Mons
1:2
Sep 20, 2011 Belgian Cup
Tubize-Braine vs Mons
0:3
Jul 16, 2011 Club Friendly
Tubize-Braine vs Mons
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mons Compare

Top Goalscorer Loemba Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brogno L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Tubize-Braine Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mons 59 / 100
Tubize-Braine 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mons Tubize-Braine

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mons Win (1)
Secondary Pick Mons & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mons attacking → ← attacking Tubize-Braine

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mons scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Tubize-Braine let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Mons went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tubize-Braine lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 57
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1St. Truiden34247362:2879
2Lommel SK34217665:2770
3Eupen34207763:3067
4RFC Seraing341710769:3961
5Leuven341710766:3961
6Virton34178958:3559
7Mons341413752:3055
8Tubize-Braine341481243:4050
9Aalst3412101248:4546
10Antwerp341191441:4142
11KSV Roeselare3410121244:4542
12Bruxelles348161043:4840
13ASV Geel341091542:6239
14Heist341061841:6136
15Dessel347101736:5831
16Patro Eisden34682038:6826
17KRC Mechelen34542523:8719
18Woluwe Zaventem34362530:8115