Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monsanto vs Sertanense

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Sul 2011/2012
Monsanto Logo

Monsanto

0 - 0
FT
Sertanense Logo

Sertanense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Second Division - Zona Sul 2011/2012 game between Monsanto and Sertanense finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Monsanto
30%
Draws
16%
Sertanense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monsanto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Sertanense haven't matched Monsanto's recent run of results.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Monsanto taking it.
  • Regular Second Division - Zona Sul 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Monsanto Clean Sheet 20%
Sertanense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monsanto Sertanense
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 5
Draws 10 13
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.83 0.78
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2012 Second Division - Zona Sul
Monsanto vs Sertanense
0:0
Sep 25, 2011 Second Division - Zona Sul
Sertanense vs Monsanto
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monsanto 58 / 100
Sertanense 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monsanto Sertanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monsanto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sertanense let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Attacking prowess: Monsanto scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Monsanto stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Sertanense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sertanense
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Monsanto

(Home)
29 Apr
Monsanto
2 : 0
Atletico SC
22 Apr
Louletano
1 : 0
Monsanto
15 Apr
Monsanto
0 : 5
Fatima
07 Apr
Pinhalnovense
1 : 1
Monsanto
31 Mar
Monsanto
3 : 1
Juv. Evora
Page 1 of 6

Sertanense

(Away)
27 Sept
O Elvas CAD
2 : 0
Sertanense
13 Sept
Sertanense
1 : 1
Malveira
30 Aug
Alcains
1 : 0
Sertanense
23 Aug
Sertanense
1 : 3
Mortagua FC
16 Aug
Nogueirense
1 : 1
Sertanense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fatima 30 18 6 6 50:30 60
2 Oriental 30 16 8 6 49:17 56
3 Torreense 30 15 11 4 47:27 56
4 Carregado 30 15 8 7 57:38 53
5 Pinhalnovense 30 16 5 9 47:32 53
6 Mafra 30 10 16 4 33:22 46
7 Louletano 30 13 7 10 28:33 46
8 Sertanense 30 11 10 9 37:32 43
9 Estrela Vendas Novas 30 11 5 14 35:34 38
10 GD Tourizense 30 8 11 11 30:34 35
11 1º Dezembro 30 8 10 12 28:29 34
12 Juv. Evora 30 9 5 16 29:42 32
13 Monsanto 30 6 11 13 25:41 29
14 Atletico SC 30 5 11 14 31:50 26
15 Moura AC 30 6 7 17 28:57 25
16 Caldas SC 30 3 9 18 17:53 18
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 (Main)