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Monsoon vs Avenida

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho Francisco Novelletto Neto, Porto Alegre
Monsoon Logo

Monsoon

0 - 0
FT
Avenida Logo

Avenida

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Xandy In: Wesley Pionteck
Out: Xandy
54'
Matheus Santos
59'
Jonathan Cabeca
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gaucho matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Monsoon
35%
Draws
41%
Avenida
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Avenida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Monsoon have won more games recently than Avenida.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Gaucho form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Monsoon Clean Sheet 23%
Avenida Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monsoon Avenida
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 13 14
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.87 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2026 Gaucho
Monsoon vs Avenida
1:1
Feb 14, 2026 Gaucho
Avenida vs Monsoon
1:1
Jan 18, 2026 Gaucho
Monsoon vs Avenida
0:0
Feb 9, 2025 Gaucho
Monsoon vs Avenida
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monsoon 33 / 100
Avenida 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monsoon Avenida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avenida Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monsoon scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Avenida conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Recent resilience: Monsoon stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monsoon VS Avenida
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Monsoon

(Home)
17 Jun
Monsoon
2 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
11 Jun
Gramadense
1 : 0
Monsoon
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
30 May
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1
Monsoon
24 May
Monsoon
1 : 2
Gramadense
Page 1 of 6

Avenida

(Away)
07 Mar
Avenida
0 : 0
Inter Santa Maria
28 Feb
Guarany de Bage
1 : 1
Avenida
23 Feb
Monsoon
1 : 1
Avenida
14 Feb
Avenida
1 : 1
Monsoon
09 Feb
Avenida
2 : 1
Guarany de Bage
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Internacional 6 5 0 1 14:5 15
2 EC Juventude 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
3 EC Sao Jose (PA) 6 2 3 1 4:3 9
4 Sao Luiz 6 1 4 1 6:10 7
5 Avenida 6 1 2 3 4:9 5
6 Guarany de Bage 6 1 2 3 4:10 5
Promotion - Gaucho (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
2 SER Caxias do Sul 6 2 1 3 8:5 7
3 Ypiranga FC 6 1 4 1 7:9 7
4 Novo Hamburgo 6 1 3 2 5:5 6
5 Monsoon 6 1 3 2 5:11 6
6 Inter Santa Maria 6 1 2 3 1:4 5
Promotion - Gaucho (Play Offs)