Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monsoon vs Avenida

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho Francisco Novelletto Neto, Porto Alegre
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Xandy In: Wesley Pionteck
Out: Xandy
54'
Matheus Santos
59'
Jonathan Cabeca

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gaucho matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Monsoon
39%
Draws
30%
Avenida
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Monsoon have won more games recently than Avenida.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Gaucho form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Monsoon Clean Sheet 23%
Avenida Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monsoon Avenida
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 13 14
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2026 Gaucho
Monsoon vs Avenida
1:1
Feb 14, 2026 Gaucho
Avenida vs Monsoon
1:1
Jan 18, 2026 Gaucho
Monsoon vs Avenida
0:0
Feb 9, 2025 Gaucho
Monsoon vs Avenida
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monsoon 33 / 100
Avenida 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monsoon Avenida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monsoon scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Avenida conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Recent resilience: Monsoon stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monsoon VS Avenida
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Monsoon

(Home)
17 Jun
Monsoon
2 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
11 Jun
Gramadense
1 : 0
Monsoon
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
30 May
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1
Monsoon
24 May
Monsoon
1 : 2
Gramadense
Page 1 of 6

Avenida

(Away)
07 Mar
Avenida
0 : 0
Inter Santa Maria
28 Feb
Guarany de Bage
1 : 1
Avenida
23 Feb
Monsoon
1 : 1
Avenida
14 Feb
Avenida
1 : 1
Monsoon
09 Feb
Avenida
2 : 1
Guarany de Bage
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Internacional650114:515
2EC Juventude63308:312
3EC Sao Jose (PA)62314:39
4Sao Luiz61416:107
5Avenida61234:95
6Guarany de Bage61234:105
Promotion - Gaucho (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gremio631214:610
2SER Caxias do Sul62138:57
3Ypiranga FC61417:97
4Novo Hamburgo61325:56
5Monsoon61325:116
6Inter Santa Maria61231:45
Promotion - Gaucho (Play Offs)