Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monsoon vs Guarany de Bage

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho Francisco Novelletto Neto, Porto Alegre
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Gomes de Souza P. A.
37' Event
Fabinho Polhao
39'
Jean Martim

AI Match Summary

Monsoon in this Gaucho matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monsoon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Monsoon
30%
Draws
39%
Guarany de Bage
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarany de Bage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guarany de Bage lately — more wins on the board than Monsoon.
  • Model gives Monsoon a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Monsoon Clean Sheet 20%
Guarany de Bage Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monsoon Guarany de Bage
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 7
Draws 13 8
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 0.87 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Gaucho
Monsoon vs Guarany de Bage
2:0
Feb 6, 2026 Gaucho
Guarany de Bage vs Monsoon
0:0
Jan 10, 2026 Gaucho
Guarany de Bage vs Monsoon
1:1
Feb 7, 2025 Gaucho
Monsoon vs Guarany de Bage
1:3
Aug 13, 2023 Gaucho 2
Monsoon vs Guarany de Bage
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monsoon Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabinho Polhao
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caio Rangel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Guarany de Bage Compare

Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monsoon 36 / 100
Guarany de Bage 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monsoon Guarany de Bage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Monsoon scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Guarany de Bage conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Monsoon remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Monsoon VS Guarany de Bage
0.83 Goals Scored 0.13
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.88
67% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Monsoon

(Home)
17 Jun
Monsoon
2 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
11 Jun
Gramadense
1 : 0
Monsoon
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
30 May
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1
Monsoon
24 May
Monsoon
1 : 2
Gramadense
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Guarany de Bage

(Away)
17 Jun
Guarany de Bage
3 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
14 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 2
Guarany de Bage
07 Jun
Guarany de Bage
0 : 1
Cianorte
03 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 1
Guarany de Bage
30 May
Joinville
2 : 0
Guarany de Bage
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