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Monsoon vs Santa Cruz RS

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Victor Hugo
66'
Mazia da Costa M. A.
76' Event
Jean

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa FGF tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Monsoon
39%
Draws
30%
Santa Cruz RS
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Monsoon have won more games recently than Santa Cruz RS.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Monsoon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Monsoon Clean Sheet 19%
Santa Cruz RS Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monsoon Santa Cruz RS
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 15 13
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2026 Copa FGF
Monsoon vs Santa Cruz RS
1:1
May 30, 2026 Copa FGF
Santa Cruz RS vs Monsoon
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monsoon Compare

Top Goalscorer Victor Hugo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Santa Cruz RS Compare

Top Goalscorer Jean
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monsoon 32 / 100
Santa Cruz RS 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monsoon Santa Cruz RS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Monsoon scored in 69% of their last 36 outings.

Defensive concern: Santa Cruz RS conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Monsoon has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Monsoon VS Santa Cruz RS
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Monsoon

(Home)
17 Jun
Monsoon
2 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
11 Jun
Gramadense
1 : 0
Monsoon
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
30 May
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1
Monsoon
24 May
Monsoon
1 : 2
Gramadense
Page 1 of 8

Santa Cruz RS

(Away)
04 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
27 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
17 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Gramadense
14 Jun
Brasil de Farroupilha
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gramadense63219:711
2Santa Cruz RS624010:710
3Monsoon61235:85
4Brasil de Farroupilha60425:74
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brasil de Pelotas642012:414
2GE Bage62226:68
3Guarany de Bage61326:86
4Farroupilha60333:93
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)