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Monsoon vs Santa Cruz RS Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Monsoon Logo

Monsoon

1 - 1
FT
Santa Cruz RS Logo

Santa Cruz RS

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Victor Hugo
66'
Mazia da Costa M. A.
76' Event
Jean
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Monsoon
30%
Draws
47%
Santa Cruz RS
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Cruz RS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Cruz RS have won more games recently than Monsoon.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Santa Cruz RS arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Monsoon Clean Sheet 24%
Santa Cruz RS Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monsoon Santa Cruz RS
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 13 15
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 0.87 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2026 Copa FGF
Monsoon vs Santa Cruz RS
1:1
May 30, 2026 Copa FGF
Santa Cruz RS vs Monsoon
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monsoon Compare

Top Goalscorer Victor Hugo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Santa Cruz RS Compare

Top Goalscorer Jean
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monsoon 33 / 100
Santa Cruz RS 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monsoon Santa Cruz RS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz RS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Monsoon scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Santa Cruz RS conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Monsoon has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Monsoon VS Santa Cruz RS
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Monsoon

(Home)
17 Jun
Monsoon
2 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
11 Jun
Gramadense
1 : 0
Monsoon
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
30 May
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1
Monsoon
24 May
Monsoon
1 : 2
Gramadense
Page 1 of 6

Santa Cruz RS

(Away)
27 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
23 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Apafut
19 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
16 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
13 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1
Lajeadense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gramadense 6 3 2 1 9:7 11
2 Santa Cruz RS 6 2 4 0 10:7 10
3 Monsoon 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
4 Brasil de Farroupilha 6 0 4 2 5:7 4
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasil de Pelotas 6 4 2 0 12:4 14
2 GE Bage 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
3 Guarany de Bage 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
4 Farroupilha 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)