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Mont Dore vs Auckland City

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2007
Mont Dore Logo

Mont Dore

0 - 2
FT
Auckland City Logo

Auckland City

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mont Dore play Auckland City in the OFC Champions League 2007. Auckland City are favorites here. Recently, Mont Dore averaged 0.95 goals scored and 3.21 conceded. Auckland City averaged 2.55 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. In past meetings, Mont Dore won 0, Auckland City won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 13, 2013 ended 12:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.92 for Mont Dore and 1.05 for Auckland City. This points to a Auckland City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Mont Dore
15%
Draws
75%
Auckland City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mont Dore picked up more points recently compared to Auckland City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.92 vs 1.05 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Mont Dore Clean Sheet 22%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mont Dore Auckland City
Matches Played 19 47
Wins 1 32
Draws 2 7
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.95 2.55
Goals Conceded 3.21 1.28

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2013 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs Mont Dore
12:2
Mar 30, 2013 OFC Champions League
Mont Dore vs Auckland City
0:2
Feb 23, 2007 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs Mont Dore
4:0
Jan 21, 2007 OFC Champions League
Mont Dore vs Auckland City
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mont Dore 13 / 100
Auckland City 70 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mont Dore Auckland City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auckland City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Auckland City & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +400%
50.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mont Dore attacking → ← attacking Auckland City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mont Dore scored in 58% of their last 19 games.

Auckland City let in goals in 55% of their last 47 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Mont Dore went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Auckland City lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

5 Points in last 5 103
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Waitakere United422013:58
2Auckland City422010:48
3Mont Dore40041:150
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ba43107:310
2Temanava41123:54
3Marist41035:73