Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mont Dore vs Tefana

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2011/2012 Stade Numa-Daly Magenta, Nouméa
Mont Dore Logo

Mont Dore

1 - 1
FT
Tefana Logo

Tefana

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this OFC Champions League 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Mont Dore
35%
Draws
49%
Tefana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tefana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Tefana have won more games recently than Mont Dore.
  • Model gives Tefana a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Mont Dore Clean Sheet 10%
Tefana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mont Dore Tefana
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 1 8
Draws 2 6
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.95 1.87
Goals Conceded 3.21 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2012 OFC Champions League
Tefana vs Mont Dore
2:0
Nov 12, 2011 OFC Champions League
Mont Dore vs Tefana
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mont Dore 10 / 100
Tefana 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mont Dore Tefana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tefana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tefana has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Mont Dore found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (19 games).

Mont Dore has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mont Dore VS Tefana
2 Goals Scored 2.75
3 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mont Dore

(Home)
28 Apr
Mont Dore
2 : 3
Waitakere United
24 Apr
AS Dragon
1 : 1
Mont Dore
17 Apr
Waitakere United
3 : 1
Mont Dore
13 Apr
Auckland City
12 : 2
Mont Dore
05 Apr
Mont Dore
1 : 4
AS Dragon
Page 1 of 4

Tefana

(Away)
16 Mar
Tefana
1 : 2
Pirae
13 Mar
Pirae
1 : 1
Tefana
16 Feb
Tefana
3 : 3
Malampa Revivors
13 Feb
Hienghene Sport
1 : 0
Tefana
10 Feb
Lae City
3 : 3
Tefana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tefana 6 4 1 1 15:12 13
2 Waitakere United 6 4 0 2 21:6 12
3 Ba 6 3 0 3 7:16 9
4 Mont Dore 6 0 1 5 2:11 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2011/2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 6 4 1 1 17:8 13
2 PNG Hekari 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
3 Amicale 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
4 Koloale 6 1 0 5 7:18 3
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2011/2012 (Play Offs)