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Montana vs Gorna Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Ogosta Stadium, Montana
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Vasilev V.
32'
Sub
Kingsley M. In: Strandzhev H.
Out: Kingsley M.
51'
Kuzmanovic D.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Montana and Gorna finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Montana
35%
Draws
58%
Gorna
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gorna come out ahead of Montana on wins alone.
  • Model gives Gorna a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Montana Clean Sheet 15%
Gorna Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montana Gorna
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.9 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Vtora liga
Montana vs Gorna
3:0
Dec 8, 2024 Vtora liga
Montana vs Gorna
1:0
Jul 30, 2024 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Montana
0:3
Apr 29, 2020 Vtora liga
Montana vs Gorna
0:0
Oct 19, 2019 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Montana
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montana Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasilev V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aliev O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Gorna Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montana 10 / 100
Gorna 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montana Gorna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gorna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Montana's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Montana has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Montana VS Gorna
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montana

(Home)
27 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
2 : 0
Montana
21 Sept
Montana
0 : 5
Hebar
13 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
4 : 0
Montana
08 Sept
Montana
1 : 4
Vihren
03 Sept
Beroe
0 : 0
Montana
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Gorna

(Away)
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
20 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 1
Gorna
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1
Nesebar
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
03 Sept
Gorna
2 : 0
Dobrudzha
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 11 7 3 1 25:11 24
2 CSKA Sofia II 11 7 2 2 23:9 23
3 Fratria 11 6 4 1 17:8 22
4 Chernomorets 1919 11 6 3 2 18:8 21
5 Beroe 11 5 3 3 16:12 18
6 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
7 Nesebar 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
8 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
9 Yantra Gabrovo 11 5 1 5 12:11 16
10 Hebar 11 4 2 5 24:19 14
11 Etar 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 11 4 1 6 11:22 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 11 2 4 5 7:10 10
17 Dobrudzha 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)