Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Montana vs Marek

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Ogosta Stadium, Montana
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Goranov D.
45'
Sub
Kingsley M. In: Strandzhev H.
Out: Kingsley M.
45'
Sub
Kirilov D. In: Yordanov V.
Out: Kirilov D.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Montana and Marek finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Montana
15%
Draws
20%
Marek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marek come out ahead of Montana on wins alone.
  • Montana are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Montana Clean Sheet 68%
Marek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montana Marek
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.86 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Vtora liga
Montana vs Marek
1:0
Oct 29, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
Marek vs Montana
1:4
Dec 5, 2024 Vtora liga
Marek vs Montana
2:1
Jul 20, 2024 Vtora liga
Montana vs Marek
0:0
Dec 4, 2023 Vtora liga
Montana vs Marek
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montana Compare

Top Goalscorer Milushev M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Marek Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montana 95 / 100
Marek 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montana Marek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marek's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Montana stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Marek lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montana VS Marek
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Montana

(Home)
16 Aug
Montana
1 : 0
Marek
11 Aug
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 2
Montana
04 Aug
Montana
3 : 1
Nesebar
25 Jul
Svoge
2 : 2
Montana
18 Jul
Montana
3 : 1
Spartak Pleven
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Marek

(Away)
16 Aug
Montana
1 : 0
Marek
07 Aug
Etar
1 : 0
Marek
01 Aug
Spartak Pleven
2 : 1
Marek
25 Jul
Fratria
0 : 1
Marek
18 Jul
Vihren
1 : 0
Marek
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Etar 4 3 1 0 9:3 10
2 CSKA Sofia II 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
3 Fratria 4 3 0 1 5:1 9
4 Vihren 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
5 Montana 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
6 Spartak Pleven 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
7 Beroe 4 2 0 2 4:4 6
8 Yantra Gabrovo 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
9 Nesebar 4 2 0 2 5:8 6
10 Ludogorets II 4 2 0 2 3:5 6
11 Svoge 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
12 Chernomorets 1919 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
13 Dobrudzha 4 1 1 2 5:4 4
14 Gorna 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
15 Hebar 4 1 0 3 9:11 3
16 Marek 4 1 0 3 2:4 3
17 Rilski Sportist 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 4 0 0 4 3:12 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)