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Stadium Background

Montana vs Marek - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Ogosta Stadium, Montana
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Goranov D.
45'
Sub
Kingsley M. In: Strandzhev H.
Out: Kingsley M.
45'
Sub
Kirilov D. In: Yordanov V.
Out: Kirilov D.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Montana and Marek finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Montana
15%
Draws
46%
Marek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marek come out ahead of Montana on wins alone.
  • Montana are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Montana Clean Sheet 68%
Marek Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Montana Marek
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Vtora liga
Montana vs Marek
1:0
Oct 29, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
Marek vs Montana
1:4
Dec 5, 2024 Vtora liga
Marek vs Montana
2:1
Jul 20, 2024 Vtora liga
Montana vs Marek
0:0
Dec 4, 2023 Vtora liga
Montana vs Marek
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Montana Compare

Top Goalscorer Milushev M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Marek Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Montana 68 / 100
Marek 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Montana Marek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montana's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Marek's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 27 matches.

Montana went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Montana VS Marek
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Montana

(Home)
02 Nov
Montana
1 : 2
Spartak Pleven
28 Oct
Fratria
1 : 2
Montana
19 Oct
Dobrudzha
2 : 1
Montana
13 Oct
Montana
2 : 3
Ludogorets II
04 Oct
Bdin Vidin
0 : 2
Montana
Page 1 of 6

Marek

(Away)
30 Oct
Marek
1 : 3
CSKA Sofia II
23 Oct
Vihren
1 : 1
Marek
17 Oct
Marek
0 : 3
Cherno More
10 Oct
Marek
3 : 2
Beroe
04 Oct
Chavdar Troyan
0 : 4
Marek
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Sofia II 14 8 4 2 29:13 28
2 Chernomorets 1919 14 8 4 2 24:10 28
3 Vihren 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Gorna 14 6 5 3 13:10 23
5 Yantra Gabrovo 14 7 2 5 19:14 23
6 Fratria 13 6 4 3 18:12 22
7 Beroe 14 6 3 5 21:18 21
8 Spartak Pleven 14 6 2 6 16:25 20
9 Hebar 14 6 2 6 29:24 20
10 Rilski Sportist 14 5 5 4 15:13 20
11 Etar 13 6 2 5 22:21 20
12 Ludogorets II 13 5 4 4 18:14 19
13 Marek 14 5 3 6 16:18 18
14 Nesebar 14 5 3 6 22:21 18
15 Montana 14 4 2 8 18:29 14
16 Svoge 14 2 6 6 10:15 12
17 Dobrudzha 13 2 3 8 13:26 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 14 0 1 13 5:38 1
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)